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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Miami1.86+4.07vs Predicted
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2Florida State University1.97+2.76vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.23+1.14vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University0.94+4.00vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University1.54+0.98vs Predicted
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6Embry-Riddle University0.39+3.96vs Predicted
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7Rollins College0.07+3.74vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida1.51-1.93vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College1.70-3.27vs Predicted
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10Clemson University1.34-3.46vs Predicted
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11The Citadel0.40-1.16vs Predicted
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12Georgia Institute of Technology0.41-2.28vs Predicted
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13Florida Institute of Technology-0.12-1.62vs Predicted
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14University of North Carolina-0.20-2.30vs Predicted
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15University of Central Florida-0.52-2.54vs Predicted
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16University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.75-0.73vs Predicted
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17Duke University-2.01-1.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.07University of Miami1.860.1%1st Place
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4.76Florida State University1.970.1%1st Place
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4.14College of Charleston2.230.2%1st Place
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8.0Jacksonville University0.940.1%1st Place
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5.98North Carolina State University1.540.1%1st Place
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9.96Embry-Riddle University0.390.0%1st Place
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10.74Rollins College0.070.0%1st Place
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6.07University of South Florida1.510.1%1st Place
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5.73Eckerd College1.700.1%1st Place
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6.54Clemson University1.340.1%1st Place
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9.84The Citadel0.400.0%1st Place
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9.72Georgia Institute of Technology0.410.0%1st Place
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11.38Florida Institute of Technology-0.120.0%1st Place
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11.7University of North Carolina-0.200.0%1st Place
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12.46University of Central Florida-0.520.0%1st Place
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15.27University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.750.0%1st Place
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15.64Duke University-2.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steven Hardee | 13.3% | 13.2% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joey Meagher | 13.7% | 14.1% | 11.0% | 13.9% | 10.9% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Axel Stordahl | 17.1% | 16.5% | 14.4% | 12.7% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew King | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 11.7% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Usher | 9.5% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Martin | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 3.0% | 0.4% |
| Carly Orhan | 2.4% | 1.6% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 13.6% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 5.0% | 1.3% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 9.8% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| matthew Monts | 9.0% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| William Turner | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Noah Frank | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Roberto Martelli | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 5.8% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| Brandon DePalma | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 13.8% | 13.4% | 7.9% | 2.1% |
| Kathleen Hale | 1.2% | 0.6% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 12.8% | 13.5% | 14.8% | 9.4% | 2.1% |
| Julian Larsen | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 13.8% | 20.4% | 12.7% | 5.7% |
| Nevin Williams | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 10.6% | 31.1% | 37.4% |
| William Robertson | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 24.9% | 50.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.