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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Miami1.86+3.99vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University0.94+5.92vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.23+1.16vs Predicted
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4Florida State University1.97+0.88vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College1.70+0.44vs Predicted
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6Rollins College0.07+4.97vs Predicted
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7Georgia Institute of Technology0.41+2.73vs Predicted
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8Clemson University1.34-1.45vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida1.51-2.68vs Predicted
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10Embry-Riddle University0.39-0.19vs Predicted
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11North Carolina State University1.54-4.84vs Predicted
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12The Citadel0.40-2.32vs Predicted
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13University of Central Florida-0.52-0.45vs Predicted
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14Florida Institute of Technology-0.12-2.56vs Predicted
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15University of North Carolina-0.20-3.46vs Predicted
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16Duke University-2.01-0.35vs Predicted
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17University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.75-1.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.99University of Miami1.860.1%1st Place
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7.92Jacksonville University0.940.1%1st Place
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4.16College of Charleston2.230.2%1st Place
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4.88Florida State University1.970.1%1st Place
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5.44Eckerd College1.700.1%1st Place
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10.97Rollins College0.070.0%1st Place
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9.73Georgia Institute of Technology0.410.0%1st Place
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6.55Clemson University1.340.1%1st Place
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6.32University of South Florida1.510.1%1st Place
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9.81Embry-Riddle University0.390.0%1st Place
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6.16North Carolina State University1.540.1%1st Place
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9.68The Citadel0.400.0%1st Place
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12.55University of Central Florida-0.520.0%1st Place
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11.44Florida Institute of Technology-0.120.0%1st Place
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11.54University of North Carolina-0.200.0%1st Place
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15.65Duke University-2.010.0%1st Place
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15.22University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steven Hardee | 13.6% | 12.7% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew King | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Axel Stordahl | 17.1% | 17.0% | 14.5% | 12.6% | 10.7% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joey Meagher | 13.8% | 13.5% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| matthew Monts | 11.2% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 12.6% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carly Orhan | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 12.1% | 11.3% | 12.8% | 5.5% | 1.3% |
| Roberto Martelli | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| William Turner | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 7.0% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Martin | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 1.9% | 1.0% |
| Jacob Usher | 8.7% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Frank | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 0.4% |
| Julian Larsen | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 14.6% | 18.0% | 15.2% | 4.9% |
| Brandon DePalma | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 15.3% | 14.1% | 8.2% | 1.4% |
| Kathleen Hale | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 12.8% | 15.2% | 8.9% | 2.7% |
| William Robertson | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 24.4% | 50.5% |
| Nevin Williams | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 10.1% | 29.8% | 37.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.