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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.47+5.11vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.12+5.34vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.54+2.80vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.42+2.06vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University2.12+6.06vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island3.23+0.77vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.57+2.39vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University3.00-0.43vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60+0.23vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68-0.81vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont2.11+0.26vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.65-2.61vs Predicted
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13Boston College2.25-2.50vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College2.46-4.48vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.74-2.46vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy0.79-0.53vs Predicted
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17Tufts University2.62-7.65vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.11-3.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.11Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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7.34Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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5.8Harvard University3.540.1%1st Place
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6.06Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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11.06Northeastern University2.120.0%1st Place
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6.77University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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9.39Boston University2.570.1%1st Place
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7.57Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
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9.23U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.0%1st Place
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9.19Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
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11.26University of Vermont2.110.0%1st Place
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9.39Bowdoin College2.650.0%1st Place
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10.5Boston College2.250.0%1st Place
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9.52Connecticut College2.460.0%1st Place
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12.54Salve Regina University1.740.0%1st Place
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15.47Maine Maritime Academy0.790.0%1st Place
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9.35Tufts University2.620.0%1st Place
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14.46Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Bragg | 10.2% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Jack Egan | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 11.6% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 11.6% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Connor Nelson | 12.0% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Will Priebe | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 5.1% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 9.1% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Tyler Mowry | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.7% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Daniel Unangst | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.0% |
| Sam Bruce | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 0.7% |
| Connell Phillipps | 3.7% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 7.1% | 5.0% |
| Christopher Lukens | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 1.0% |
| Jack Redmond | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 3.6% |
| Walter Henry | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 1.7% |
| Nils Tullberg | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 12.9% | 13.8% | 9.5% |
| Nalu Ho | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 9.4% | 18.6% | 42.6% |
| Trevor Davis | 4.9% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 1.0% |
| Tyler Egeli | 1.6% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 12.1% | 20.3% | 26.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.