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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.23+6.08vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University1.74+10.85vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.47+3.17vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University3.00+3.65vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.62+4.14vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.53+3.62vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.11+4.27vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College2.46+1.77vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68-0.03vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.11+4.78vs Predicted
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11Boston University2.57-1.52vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.65-2.53vs Predicted
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13Yale University3.12-5.90vs Predicted
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14Harvard University3.54-8.47vs Predicted
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15Brown University3.42-8.90vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60-6.57vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University2.12-5.67vs Predicted
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18Maine Maritime Academy0.79-2.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.08University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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12.85Salve Regina University1.740.0%1st Place
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6.17Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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7.65Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
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9.14Tufts University2.620.1%1st Place
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9.62Boston College2.530.0%1st Place
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11.27University of Vermont2.110.0%1st Place
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9.77Connecticut College2.460.0%1st Place
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8.97Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.0%1st Place
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14.78Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.110.0%1st Place
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9.48Boston University2.570.1%1st Place
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9.47Bowdoin College2.650.0%1st Place
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7.1Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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5.53Harvard University3.540.1%1st Place
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6.1Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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9.43U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.0%1st Place
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11.33Northeastern University2.120.0%1st Place
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15.29Maine Maritime Academy0.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kerem Erkmen | 7.7% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Nils Tullberg | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 11.2% | 13.8% | 15.8% | 8.3% |
| Robert Bragg | 10.2% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Trevor Davis | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 1.0% |
| Michael Kirkman | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 2.2% |
| Connell Phillipps | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 4.9% |
| Walter Henry | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 1.0% |
| Sam Bruce | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Tyler Egeli | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 11.2% | 20.1% | 31.2% |
| Tyler Mowry | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 1.5% |
| Christopher Lukens | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 1.2% |
| Jack Egan | 9.1% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 13.0% | 15.0% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Connor Nelson | 10.9% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Unangst | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 1.7% |
| Will Priebe | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 4.1% |
| Nalu Ho | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 11.3% | 17.0% | 40.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.