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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.55+5.87vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.38+5.40vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.30+1.70vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.20+4.49vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.40+4.32vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston1.81+3.91vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University1.26+5.49vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.75-1.99vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.04-0.04vs Predicted
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10George Washington University0.93+3.61vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.10-0.57vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy2.04-2.09vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College1.51-0.80vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania1.72-3.74vs Predicted
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15Tulane University2.02-5.99vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University1.97-6.20vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77-7.30vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University1.22-6.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.87Yale University2.559.3%1st Place
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7.4Cornell University2.388.5%1st Place
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4.7Stanford University3.3017.0%1st Place
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8.49Georgetown University2.206.4%1st Place
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9.32Boston College2.406.0%1st Place
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9.91College of Charleston1.814.0%1st Place
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12.49North Carolina State University1.261.7%1st Place
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6.01Dartmouth College2.7510.3%1st Place
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8.96Brown University2.044.6%1st Place
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13.61George Washington University0.931.7%1st Place
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10.43Harvard University2.103.4%1st Place
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9.91U. S. Naval Academy2.044.2%1st Place
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12.2Bowdoin College1.511.8%1st Place
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10.26University of Pennsylvania1.724.0%1st Place
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9.01Tulane University2.025.7%1st Place
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9.8Roger Williams University1.974.0%1st Place
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9.7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.774.8%1st Place
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11.91Northeastern University1.222.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Cowles | 9.3% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Bridget Green | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 17.0% | 14.0% | 13.1% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Piper Holthus | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.5% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.9% |
| Emma Tallman | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% |
| Olivia Sowa | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 15.4% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 10.3% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 1.8% |
| Avery Canavan | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 14.5% | 26.8% |
| Cordelia Burn | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 3.6% |
| Kyra Phelan | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 12.0% | 12.3% |
| Torrey Chisari | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% |
| Samantha Gardner | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 1.6% |
| Lucy Meagher | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 2.9% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 3.1% |
| Eva Ermlich | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 11.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.