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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.12+6.48vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.54+3.82vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.42+3.24vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College2.46+5.76vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.65+4.09vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.53+3.66vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.12+4.23vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.47-2.13vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.11+5.59vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.57-0.29vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island3.23-4.01vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University3.00-3.90vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont2.11-1.87vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University1.74-1.69vs Predicted
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15Tufts University2.62-5.78vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60-6.67vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68-7.86vs Predicted
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18Maine Maritime Academy0.79-2.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.48Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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5.82Harvard University3.540.1%1st Place
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6.24Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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9.76Connecticut College2.460.0%1st Place
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9.09Bowdoin College2.650.1%1st Place
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9.66Boston College2.530.0%1st Place
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11.23Northeastern University2.120.0%1st Place
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5.87Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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14.59Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.110.0%1st Place
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9.71Boston University2.570.1%1st Place
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6.99University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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8.1Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
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11.13University of Vermont2.110.0%1st Place
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12.31Salve Regina University1.740.0%1st Place
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9.22Tufts University2.620.0%1st Place
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9.33U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.0%1st Place
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9.14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.0%1st Place
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15.34Maine Maritime Academy0.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Egan | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 9.8% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Connor Nelson | 10.2% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Walter Henry | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 1.8% |
| Christopher Lukens | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 1.3% |
| Michael Kirkman | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 2.2% |
| Will Priebe | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 4.2% |
| Robert Bragg | 12.2% | 12.0% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Egeli | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 10.3% | 22.0% | 28.4% |
| Tyler Mowry | 5.4% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 3.7% | 1.7% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 9.2% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Connell Phillipps | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 7.2% | 4.9% |
| Nils Tullberg | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 14.3% | 13.6% | 9.0% |
| Trevor Davis | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.0% |
| Daniel Unangst | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 1.4% |
| Sam Bruce | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
| Nalu Ho | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 18.1% | 41.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.