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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.23+6.00vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.49+7.98vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.47+3.07vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.54+1.61vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University3.00+2.65vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68+2.94vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College2.46+2.84vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.42-1.93vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.11+2.20vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.57-0.39vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University2.12+0.27vs Predicted
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12Boston College2.53-2.12vs Predicted
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13Yale University3.12-5.96vs Predicted
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14Maine Maritime Academy0.79+1.19vs Predicted
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15Tufts University2.62-5.86vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University1.74-3.28vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.11-2.25vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60-8.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.0University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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9.98Bowdoin College2.490.0%1st Place
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6.07Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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5.61Harvard University3.540.1%1st Place
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7.65Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
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8.94Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
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9.84Connecticut College2.460.0%1st Place
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6.07Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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11.2University of Vermont2.110.0%1st Place
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9.61Boston University2.570.1%1st Place
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11.27Northeastern University2.120.0%1st Place
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9.88Boston College2.530.0%1st Place
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7.04Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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15.19Maine Maritime Academy0.790.0%1st Place
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9.14Tufts University2.620.0%1st Place
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12.72Salve Regina University1.740.0%1st Place
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14.75Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.110.0%1st Place
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9.04U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kerem Erkmen | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 1.6% |
| Robert Bragg | 10.7% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 13.8% | 11.3% | 12.0% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Sam Bruce | 5.4% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.2% |
| Walter Henry | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 1.8% |
| Connor Nelson | 10.0% | 12.6% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Connell Phillipps | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 11.7% | 7.8% | 3.3% |
| Tyler Mowry | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 1.3% |
| Will Priebe | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 5.2% |
| Michael Kirkman | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 2.3% |
| Jack Egan | 8.3% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Nalu Ho | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 10.1% | 16.4% | 41.1% |
| Trevor Davis | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 0.9% |
| Nils Tullberg | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 13.0% | 14.7% | 10.0% |
| Tyler Egeli | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 11.5% | 21.5% | 29.9% |
| Daniel Unangst | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 0.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.