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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.12+6.45vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.54+3.84vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.11+11.78vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.42+2.07vs Predicted
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5Boston University2.57+4.27vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68+3.00vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College2.46+2.90vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.49+1.63vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.62+0.18vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island3.23-2.94vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College3.47-4.95vs Predicted
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12Boston College2.53-2.11vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont2.11-1.87vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University2.12-3.13vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.74-2.44vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University3.00-8.24vs Predicted
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17Maine Maritime Academy0.79-1.52vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60-8.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.45Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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5.84Harvard University3.540.1%1st Place
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14.78Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.110.0%1st Place
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6.07Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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9.27Boston University2.570.1%1st Place
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9.0Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
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9.9Connecticut College2.460.1%1st Place
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9.63Bowdoin College2.490.0%1st Place
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9.18Tufts University2.620.0%1st Place
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7.06University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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6.05Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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9.89Boston College2.530.0%1st Place
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11.13University of Vermont2.110.0%1st Place
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10.87Northeastern University2.120.0%1st Place
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12.56Salve Regina University1.740.0%1st Place
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7.76Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
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15.48Maine Maritime Academy0.790.0%1st Place
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9.08U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Egan | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 10.4% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Egeli | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 11.3% | 22.2% | 29.1% |
| Connor Nelson | 11.4% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Mowry | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 0.9% |
| Sam Bruce | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| Walter Henry | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 2.0% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 1.5% |
| Trevor Davis | 3.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 9.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Robert Bragg | 10.5% | 12.7% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Michael Kirkman | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 2.1% |
| Connell Phillipps | 3.3% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 11.5% | 8.7% | 3.5% |
| Will Priebe | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 11.2% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 3.2% |
| Nils Tullberg | 2.1% | 1.1% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 11.8% | 13.8% | 9.7% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Nalu Ho | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 9.3% | 17.6% | 44.2% |
| Daniel Unangst | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.