Race 11A

schell

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18
Robert Bragg 10.8% 10.3% 10.8% 9.7% 9.4% 7.7% 7.3% 7.5% 5.3% 4.6% 4.9% 5.0% 2.8% 1.9% 1.2% 0.5% 0.3% 0.0%
Aidan Hoogland 5.1% 6.5% 6.6% 7.2% 7.5% 8.0% 8.3% 6.8% 7.4% 7.1% 7.9% 5.3% 5.7% 3.7% 3.7% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2%
Nils Tullberg 1.9% 1.5% 2.3% 2.0% 3.0% 3.0% 3.3% 1.9% 2.6% 4.4% 4.9% 5.0% 7.2% 7.5% 10.6% 12.9% 16.8% 9.2%
Connor Nelson 11.1% 11.2% 10.0% 10.2% 8.7% 6.7% 7.6% 6.5% 6.8% 5.3% 4.6% 3.6% 2.7% 1.8% 1.5% 1.2% 0.5% 0.0%
Sam Bruce 5.1% 5.3% 6.4% 6.2% 6.0% 6.6% 6.5% 5.5% 6.2% 6.4% 5.6% 6.9% 6.2% 5.7% 6.7% 4.6% 3.2% 0.9%
Trevor Davis 4.2% 4.8% 4.9% 6.0% 5.9% 5.4% 6.9% 6.4% 6.6% 6.5% 6.8% 6.7% 6.6% 7.2% 5.4% 4.9% 3.6% 1.2%
Tyler Mowry 5.0% 4.8% 5.2% 5.5% 6.2% 5.5% 4.4% 5.2% 5.9% 6.8% 7.8% 6.6% 6.9% 7.7% 6.5% 4.6% 4.0% 1.4%
Jack Egan 7.4% 9.3% 8.7% 8.1% 7.4% 7.8% 6.3% 6.2% 7.3% 6.7% 5.5% 6.4% 5.0% 3.8% 2.0% 1.0% 0.9% 0.2%
Lachlain McGranahan 12.3% 12.5% 10.6% 10.3% 9.7% 8.6% 6.4% 8.5% 5.7% 4.4% 3.2% 3.6% 1.7% 1.5% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Michael Kirkman 5.5% 3.4% 4.8% 4.8% 3.6% 4.9% 5.2% 7.0% 6.4% 5.4% 6.7% 8.0% 7.0% 6.8% 7.7% 6.4% 4.6% 1.8%
Daniel Unangst 5.1% 4.7% 4.9% 4.9% 5.0% 5.3% 5.9% 6.3% 6.8% 5.2% 7.7% 6.4% 8.0% 7.1% 6.7% 5.2% 3.4% 1.4%
Kerem Erkmen 9.3% 8.5% 6.9% 8.3% 7.6% 8.1% 7.1% 6.1% 6.9% 7.2% 5.9% 4.9% 4.3% 3.9% 2.6% 2.0% 0.3% 0.1%
Thibault Antonietti 4.6% 4.6% 4.3% 4.8% 4.7% 5.8% 6.5% 6.8% 5.8% 6.0% 5.6% 6.7% 8.4% 7.5% 6.2% 6.6% 3.9% 1.2%
Will Priebe 3.3% 3.0% 3.7% 3.9% 4.4% 4.3% 4.6% 5.1% 4.6% 6.7% 4.9% 5.9% 5.7% 9.7% 8.8% 10.1% 7.5% 3.8%
Walter Henry 4.4% 3.4% 5.1% 3.7% 5.3% 4.9% 6.7% 5.8% 6.4% 6.8% 7.2% 6.2% 6.5% 6.9% 7.5% 6.8% 4.4% 2.0%
Tyler Egeli 1.0% 1.3% 0.9% 1.2% 1.7% 1.5% 1.1% 2.1% 2.8% 1.7% 2.6% 2.8% 5.0% 5.6% 7.9% 12.0% 20.0% 28.8%
Nalu Ho 0.6% 1.2% 0.5% 0.4% 1.6% 1.4% 1.5% 1.4% 1.3% 2.2% 2.0% 2.2% 3.1% 3.6% 5.8% 9.5% 17.8% 43.9%
Connell Phillipps 3.3% 3.7% 3.4% 2.8% 2.3% 4.5% 4.4% 4.9% 5.2% 6.6% 6.2% 7.8% 7.2% 8.1% 8.6% 9.2% 7.9% 3.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.