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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.12+6.41vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.47+4.05vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.54+2.79vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68+4.78vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University1.74+7.50vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University3.00+1.77vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60+2.28vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.57+1.31vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.42-2.94vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.49+0.05vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.11+3.66vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.62-2.48vs Predicted
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13Boston College2.53-3.53vs Predicted
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14Maine Maritime Academy0.79+1.21vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College2.45-5.15vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont2.11-4.67vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island3.23-10.05vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University2.12-6.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.41Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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6.05Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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5.79Harvard University3.540.1%1st Place
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8.78Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
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12.5Salve Regina University1.740.0%1st Place
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7.77Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
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9.28U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.1%1st Place
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9.31Boston University2.570.0%1st Place
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6.06Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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10.05Bowdoin College2.490.1%1st Place
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14.66Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.110.0%1st Place
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9.52Tufts University2.620.0%1st Place
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9.47Boston College2.530.1%1st Place
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15.21Maine Maritime Academy0.790.0%1st Place
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9.85Connecticut College2.450.0%1st Place
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11.33University of Vermont2.110.0%1st Place
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6.95University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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11.02Northeastern University2.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Egan | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Robert Bragg | 9.2% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 11.4% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Bruce | 5.1% | 4.9% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.5% |
| Nils Tullberg | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 13.4% | 14.1% | 10.6% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Daniel Unangst | 5.0% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 1.2% |
| Tyler Mowry | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 1.5% |
| Connor Nelson | 10.0% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 1.7% |
| Tyler Egeli | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 13.9% | 19.0% | 29.8% |
| Trevor Davis | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 1.0% |
| Michael Kirkman | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.2% |
| Nalu Ho | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 17.7% | 40.2% |
| CJ Mckenna | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 1.7% |
| Connell Phillipps | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 4.1% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 10.1% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Will Priebe | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 4.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.