← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Harvard University3.54+4.93vs Predicted
-
2Brown University3.42+4.27vs Predicted
-
3Dartmouth College3.47+3.07vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60+5.15vs Predicted
-
5University of Rhode Island3.23+1.76vs Predicted
-
6Boston University2.57+3.43vs Predicted
-
7Roger Williams University3.00+0.71vs Predicted
-
8Boston College2.53+1.47vs Predicted
-
9Yale University3.12-1.92vs Predicted
-
10Northeastern University2.12+1.46vs Predicted
-
11Bowdoin College2.49-1.16vs Predicted
-
12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68-2.71vs Predicted
-
13Connecticut College2.46-3.25vs Predicted
-
14Tufts University2.62-5.11vs Predicted
-
15Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.11-0.42vs Predicted
-
16University of Vermont2.11-4.68vs Predicted
-
17Salve Regina University1.74-4.29vs Predicted
-
18Maine Maritime Academy0.79-2.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.93Harvard University3.540.1%1st Place
-
6.27Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
-
6.07Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
-
9.15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.0%1st Place
-
6.76University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
-
9.43Boston University2.570.1%1st Place
-
7.71Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
-
9.47Boston College2.530.0%1st Place
-
7.08Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
-
11.46Northeastern University2.120.0%1st Place
-
9.84Bowdoin College2.490.0%1st Place
-
9.29Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.0%1st Place
-
9.75Connecticut College2.460.0%1st Place
-
8.89Tufts University2.620.1%1st Place
-
14.58Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.110.0%1st Place
-
11.32University of Vermont2.110.0%1st Place
-
12.71Salve Regina University1.740.0%1st Place
-
15.31Maine Maritime Academy0.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lachlain McGranahan | 11.3% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Connor Nelson | 9.3% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Robert Bragg | 10.5% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Unangst | 4.9% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.9% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 9.2% | 11.0% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Mowry | 5.2% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 1.7% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Michael Kirkman | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 1.1% |
| Jack Egan | 7.4% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Will Priebe | 3.7% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 4.4% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 2.1% |
| Sam Bruce | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Walter Henry | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 1.5% |
| Trevor Davis | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 2.2% | 1.3% |
| Tyler Egeli | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 11.6% | 20.3% | 27.6% |
| Connell Phillipps | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 5.0% |
| Nils Tullberg | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 10.0% | 13.1% | 14.2% | 11.1% |
| Nalu Ho | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 10.2% | 18.4% | 40.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.