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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.75+4.80vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.04+6.75vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.55+3.85vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.40+5.38vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.38+2.63vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.22+6.15vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77+2.65vs Predicted
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8George Washington University0.93+5.65vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University2.20-0.37vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.10+0.56vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy2.04-1.08vs Predicted
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12Stanford University3.30-7.39vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University1.97-3.46vs Predicted
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14Tulane University2.02-5.07vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston1.81-5.05vs Predicted
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16University of Pennsylvania1.72-5.66vs Predicted
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17North Carolina State University1.26-4.28vs Predicted
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18Bowdoin College1.51-6.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.8Dartmouth College2.7511.0%1st Place
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8.75Brown University2.045.7%1st Place
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6.85Yale University2.558.6%1st Place
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9.38Boston College2.406.0%1st Place
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7.63Cornell University2.387.0%1st Place
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12.15Northeastern University1.222.8%1st Place
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9.65Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.774.5%1st Place
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13.65George Washington University0.931.3%1st Place
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8.63Georgetown University2.205.1%1st Place
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10.56Harvard University2.103.4%1st Place
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9.92U. S. Naval Academy2.044.2%1st Place
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4.61Stanford University3.3017.6%1st Place
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9.54Roger Williams University1.974.5%1st Place
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8.93Tulane University2.025.1%1st Place
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9.95College of Charleston1.814.6%1st Place
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10.34University of Pennsylvania1.723.5%1st Place
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12.72North Carolina State University1.262.2%1st Place
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11.95Bowdoin College1.512.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maddie Hawkins | 11.0% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 5.7% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.4% |
| Emma Cowles | 8.6% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.2% |
| Bridget Green | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Eva Ermlich | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 14.1% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 2.4% |
| Avery Canavan | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 12.9% | 27.5% |
| Piper Holthus | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.7% |
| Cordelia Burn | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.3% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 3.5% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 17.6% | 15.5% | 12.8% | 11.8% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Lucy Meagher | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 2.9% |
| Samantha Gardner | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 1.2% |
| Emma Tallman | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 3.1% |
| Torrey Chisari | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 4.9% |
| Olivia Sowa | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 12.2% | 17.6% |
| Kyra Phelan | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 11.7% | 11.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.