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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76+6.71vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.82+5.41vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.40+2.33vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.91+2.79vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.43+0.11vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.43+2.68vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.81+0.28vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.75-0.59vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.38-0.16vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.07+0.28vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College2.82-3.60vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont1.11+1.70vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.24+2.44vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.68-2.72vs Predicted
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15Maine Maritime Academy0.77-0.64vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32-6.82vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University0.62-2.13vs Predicted
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18Boston University2.07-8.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.71U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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7.41Dartmouth College2.820.1%1st Place
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5.33Brown University3.400.1%1st Place
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6.79Boston College2.910.1%1st Place
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5.11Yale University3.430.1%1st Place
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8.68Tufts University2.430.1%1st Place
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7.28Bowdoin College2.810.1%1st Place
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7.41Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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8.84Roger Williams University2.380.0%1st Place
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10.28University of Rhode Island2.070.0%1st Place
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7.4Connecticut College2.820.1%1st Place
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13.7University of Vermont1.110.0%1st Place
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15.44Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.240.0%1st Place
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11.28Northeastern University1.680.0%1st Place
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14.36Maine Maritime Academy0.770.0%1st Place
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9.18Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.0%1st Place
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14.87Salve Regina University0.620.0%1st Place
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9.93Boston University2.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colman Schofield | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| William Michels | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 12.7% | 11.0% | 12.6% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 8.8% | 8.3% | 11.0% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 14.9% | 16.0% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Mueller | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Thomas Hall | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Oliver Stokke | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Miles Williams | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Ryan Hamilton | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 9.1% | 12.3% | 13.7% | 18.5% | 12.3% |
| Andy Leshaw | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 7.8% | 13.1% | 20.1% | 36.5% |
| Sam Monaghan | 3.2% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 12.0% | 10.5% | 5.8% | 3.0% |
| Henri Richardsson | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 12.1% | 15.8% | 20.1% | 17.9% |
| Maks Groom | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 0.3% |
| Emil Tullberg | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 14.1% | 22.6% | 25.7% |
| Micky Munns | 4.0% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 10.6% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 1.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.