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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.81+6.50vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.43+3.21vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.91+4.04vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.40+1.22vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76+2.41vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32+3.14vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College2.82+0.22vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.82-0.92vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.43-0.34vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.07+0.27vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.75-3.37vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.38-2.85vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.07-3.06vs Predicted
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14Maine Maritime Academy0.77+0.19vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.68-3.52vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.24-0.31vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont1.11-3.50vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University0.62-3.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.5Bowdoin College2.810.1%1st Place
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5.21Yale University3.430.1%1st Place
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7.04Boston College2.910.1%1st Place
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5.22Brown University3.400.1%1st Place
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7.41U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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9.14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.1%1st Place
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7.22Connecticut College2.820.1%1st Place
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7.08Dartmouth College2.820.1%1st Place
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8.66Tufts University2.430.0%1st Place
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10.27Boston University2.070.0%1st Place
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7.63Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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9.15Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
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9.94University of Rhode Island2.070.0%1st Place
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14.19Maine Maritime Academy0.770.0%1st Place
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11.48Northeastern University1.680.0%1st Place
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15.69Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.240.0%1st Place
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13.5University of Vermont1.110.0%1st Place
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14.68Salve Regina University0.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Hall | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 5.3% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 11.0% | 12.7% | 11.9% | 12.6% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 7.9% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 14.4% | 12.8% | 12.5% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Colman Schofield | 7.2% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Maks Groom | 5.1% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| William Michels | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Mueller | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Micky Munns | 3.9% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 4.6% | 0.8% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Oliver Stokke | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Miles Williams | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 1.0% |
| Henri Richardsson | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 14.6% | 19.4% | 18.7% |
| Sam Monaghan | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 12.0% | 10.3% | 7.2% | 2.8% |
| Andy Leshaw | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 11.6% | 18.7% | 41.6% |
| Ryan Hamilton | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 12.6% | 15.8% | 15.4% | 12.2% |
| Emil Tullberg | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 7.0% | 10.6% | 15.0% | 22.7% | 21.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.