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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76+6.71vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.43+7.03vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.81+4.48vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.40+1.27vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.91+1.89vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.07+4.19vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.75+0.53vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.82-0.80vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College2.82-1.80vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.07+0.31vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.43-5.76vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32-2.54vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University2.38-4.20vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.24+1.50vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University0.62-0.19vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont1.11-2.39vs Predicted
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17Maine Maritime Academy0.77-2.45vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University2.00-7.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.71U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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9.03Tufts University2.430.0%1st Place
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7.48Bowdoin College2.810.1%1st Place
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5.27Brown University3.400.1%1st Place
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6.89Boston College2.910.1%1st Place
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10.19Boston University2.070.0%1st Place
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7.53Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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7.2Dartmouth College2.820.1%1st Place
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7.2Connecticut College2.820.1%1st Place
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10.31University of Rhode Island2.070.0%1st Place
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5.24Yale University3.430.1%1st Place
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9.46Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.0%1st Place
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8.8Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
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15.5Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.240.0%1st Place
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14.81Salve Regina University0.620.0%1st Place
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13.61University of Vermont1.110.0%1st Place
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14.55Maine Maritime Academy0.770.0%1st Place
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10.23Northeastern University2.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colman Schofield | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Ben Mueller | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.9% |
| Thomas Hall | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 14.5% | 11.4% | 12.8% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 8.2% | 10.6% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Micky Munns | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 1.5% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| William Michels | 7.5% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Miles Williams | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 4.6% | 0.6% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 14.8% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Maks Groom | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 10.6% | 7.7% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| Oliver Stokke | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Andy Leshaw | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 7.9% | 10.6% | 20.7% | 37.3% |
| Emil Tullberg | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 9.0% | 15.9% | 21.2% | 24.4% |
| Ryan Hamilton | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 12.4% | 16.8% | 15.4% | 12.4% |
| Henri Richardsson | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 8.9% | 16.0% | 23.0% | 20.2% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 3.1% | 1.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.