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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.82+6.45vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.40+3.35vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32+6.42vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76+3.39vs Predicted
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5Maine Maritime Academy0.77+9.33vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.07+4.23vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College2.82+0.28vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.43-2.89vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University0.62+5.87vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.75-2.23vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.81-3.53vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.43-2.91vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University2.00-2.78vs Predicted
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14Boston College2.91-7.25vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont1.11-1.60vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island2.07-5.80vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University2.38-7.89vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.24-2.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.45Dartmouth College2.820.1%1st Place
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5.35Brown University3.400.1%1st Place
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9.42Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.0%1st Place
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7.39U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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14.33Maine Maritime Academy0.770.0%1st Place
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10.23Boston University2.070.0%1st Place
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7.28Connecticut College2.820.1%1st Place
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5.11Yale University3.430.1%1st Place
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14.87Salve Regina University0.620.0%1st Place
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7.77Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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7.47Bowdoin College2.810.1%1st Place
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9.09Tufts University2.430.0%1st Place
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10.22Northeastern University2.000.0%1st Place
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6.75Boston College2.910.1%1st Place
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13.4University of Vermont1.110.0%1st Place
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10.2University of Rhode Island2.070.0%1st Place
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9.11Roger Williams University2.380.0%1st Place
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15.57Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Michels | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 11.3% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maks Groom | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Colman Schofield | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Henri Richardsson | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 10.2% | 14.7% | 18.9% | 21.1% |
| Micky Munns | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 1.2% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 14.0% | 13.6% | 12.9% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emil Tullberg | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 9.5% | 13.8% | 22.9% | 24.5% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 7.6% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Hall | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Ben Mueller | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 1.7% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 9.6% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Hamilton | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 14.0% | 14.5% | 15.7% | 10.6% |
| Miles Williams | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 3.6% | 0.7% |
| Oliver Stokke | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Andy Leshaw | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 6.6% | 13.0% | 21.0% | 38.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.