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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.75+6.57vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.43+6.84vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.82+4.21vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76+3.23vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.50+3.24vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.40-0.89vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont1.11+6.31vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College2.82-0.95vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.91-2.27vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.81-2.59vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.75-3.47vs Predicted
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12Maine Maritime Academy0.77+2.61vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32-4.17vs Predicted
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14Boston University2.07-4.29vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island2.07-5.06vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University0.62-1.19vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.24-1.36vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University1.68-6.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.57Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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8.84Tufts University2.430.0%1st Place
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7.21Dartmouth College2.820.1%1st Place
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7.23U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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8.24Roger Williams University2.500.1%1st Place
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5.11Brown University3.400.1%1st Place
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13.31University of Vermont1.110.0%1st Place
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7.05Connecticut College2.820.1%1st Place
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6.73Boston College2.910.1%1st Place
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7.41Bowdoin College2.810.1%1st Place
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7.53Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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14.61Maine Maritime Academy0.770.0%1st Place
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8.83Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.1%1st Place
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9.71Boston University2.070.0%1st Place
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9.94University of Rhode Island2.070.0%1st Place
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14.81Salve Regina University0.620.0%1st Place
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15.64Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.240.0%1st Place
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11.24Northeastern University1.680.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carmen Cowles | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 9.4% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Ben Mueller | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% |
| William Michels | 7.8% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Colman Schofield | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Cameron Wood | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 14.5% | 12.3% | 12.4% | 12.8% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Hamilton | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 12.3% | 18.2% | 14.3% | 10.7% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 7.4% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 8.1% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Hall | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Henri Richardsson | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 6.8% | 10.0% | 17.1% | 22.8% | 19.0% |
| Maks Groom | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Micky Munns | 3.9% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 3.0% | 1.3% |
| Miles Williams | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.0% |
| Emil Tullberg | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 15.3% | 20.2% | 24.9% |
| Andy Leshaw | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 22.8% | 38.8% |
| Sam Monaghan | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 6.2% | 2.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.