← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Bowdoin College2.81+6.33vs Predicted
-
2Boston University2.07+8.22vs Predicted
-
3Dartmouth College2.82+4.22vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76+3.16vs Predicted
-
5Roger Williams University2.50+3.26vs Predicted
-
6Salve Regina University0.62+8.70vs Predicted
-
7Harvard University2.75+0.35vs Predicted
-
8Yale University2.75-0.71vs Predicted
-
9Brown University3.40-3.97vs Predicted
-
10University of Rhode Island2.07+0.19vs Predicted
-
11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32-1.87vs Predicted
-
12Boston College2.91-4.93vs Predicted
-
13Connecticut College2.82-6.03vs Predicted
-
14Maine Maritime Academy0.77+0.14vs Predicted
-
15Tufts University2.43-6.46vs Predicted
-
16University of Vermont1.11-2.53vs Predicted
-
17Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.24-1.30vs Predicted
-
18Northeastern University1.68-6.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.33Bowdoin College2.810.1%1st Place
-
10.22Boston University2.070.0%1st Place
-
7.22Dartmouth College2.820.1%1st Place
-
7.16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
-
8.26Roger Williams University2.500.1%1st Place
-
14.7Salve Regina University0.620.0%1st Place
-
7.35Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
-
7.29Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
-
5.03Brown University3.400.1%1st Place
-
10.19University of Rhode Island2.070.0%1st Place
-
9.13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.1%1st Place
-
7.07Boston College2.910.1%1st Place
-
6.97Connecticut College2.820.1%1st Place
-
14.14Maine Maritime Academy0.770.0%1st Place
-
8.54Tufts University2.430.1%1st Place
-
13.47University of Vermont1.110.0%1st Place
-
15.7Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.240.0%1st Place
-
11.21Northeastern University1.680.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Hall | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Micky Munns | 2.4% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 1.4% |
| William Michels | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Colman Schofield | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Cameron Wood | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Emil Tullberg | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 9.0% | 15.3% | 22.2% | 23.4% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Carmen Cowles | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 14.7% | 12.5% | 12.9% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Miles Williams | 4.7% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 4.0% | 1.1% |
| Maks Groom | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Henri Richardsson | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 16.7% | 19.7% | 17.4% |
| Ben Mueller | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Ryan Hamilton | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 12.6% | 14.4% | 16.9% | 11.1% |
| Andy Leshaw | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 10.4% | 20.6% | 41.5% |
| Sam Monaghan | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 6.1% | 2.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.