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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.91+5.91vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76+5.41vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.40+2.13vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.75+3.16vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.43+3.41vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.81+1.04vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College2.82+0.02vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.82-1.10vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32-0.13vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.75-2.49vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.50-2.71vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont1.27+1.05vs Predicted
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13Maine Maritime Academy0.77+1.11vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island1.83-3.48vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University0.62-0.31vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University1.37-3.43vs Predicted
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17Boston University2.07-7.03vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.24-2.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.91Boston College2.910.1%1st Place
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7.41U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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5.13Brown University3.400.1%1st Place
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7.16Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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8.41Tufts University2.430.1%1st Place
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7.04Bowdoin College2.810.1%1st Place
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7.02Connecticut College2.820.1%1st Place
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6.9Dartmouth College2.820.1%1st Place
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8.87Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.0%1st Place
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7.51Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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8.29Roger Williams University2.500.1%1st Place
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13.05University of Vermont1.270.0%1st Place
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14.11Maine Maritime Academy0.770.0%1st Place
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10.52University of Rhode Island1.830.0%1st Place
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14.69Salve Regina University0.620.0%1st Place
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12.57Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
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9.97Boston University2.070.0%1st Place
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15.44Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michaela O'Brien | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Colman Schofield | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 13.5% | 12.2% | 12.5% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carmen Cowles | 8.4% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Ben Mueller | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Hall | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| William Michels | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Maks Groom | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Cameron Wood | 7.0% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Christian Cushman | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 12.6% | 12.4% | 15.5% | 9.2% |
| Henri Richardsson | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 13.3% | 19.0% | 19.1% |
| Jonathan Riley | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 7.9% | 4.1% | 2.1% |
| Emil Tullberg | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 15.5% | 19.4% | 24.2% |
| Joshua Dillon | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 12.7% | 12.6% | 12.6% | 6.5% |
| Micky Munns | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Andy Leshaw | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 13.6% | 20.5% | 36.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.