← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University2.75+6.48vs Predicted
-
2Dartmouth College2.82+5.18vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76+4.41vs Predicted
-
4Harvard University2.75+3.19vs Predicted
-
5Roger Williams University2.50+3.13vs Predicted
-
6Boston College2.91+0.72vs Predicted
-
7Bowdoin College2.81+0.06vs Predicted
-
8Salve Regina University0.62+6.58vs Predicted
-
9Brown University3.40-4.03vs Predicted
-
10Connecticut College2.82-2.72vs Predicted
-
11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32-1.91vs Predicted
-
12Maine Maritime Academy0.77+2.53vs Predicted
-
13University of Rhode Island1.83-2.42vs Predicted
-
14Northeastern University1.37-1.86vs Predicted
-
15University of Vermont1.27-2.28vs Predicted
-
16Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.24-0.42vs Predicted
-
17Tufts University2.43-8.31vs Predicted
-
18Boston University2.07-8.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.48Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
-
7.18Dartmouth College2.820.1%1st Place
-
7.41U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
-
7.19Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
-
8.13Roger Williams University2.500.1%1st Place
-
6.72Boston College2.910.1%1st Place
-
7.06Bowdoin College2.810.1%1st Place
-
14.58Salve Regina University0.620.0%1st Place
-
4.97Brown University3.400.1%1st Place
-
7.28Connecticut College2.820.1%1st Place
-
9.09Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.1%1st Place
-
14.53Maine Maritime Academy0.770.0%1st Place
-
10.58University of Rhode Island1.830.0%1st Place
-
12.14Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
-
12.72University of Vermont1.270.0%1st Place
-
15.58Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.240.0%1st Place
-
8.69Tufts University2.430.1%1st Place
-
9.69Boston University2.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carmen Cowles | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| William Michels | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Colman Schofield | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 8.2% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Cameron Wood | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 8.8% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Hall | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Emil Tullberg | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 14.5% | 20.2% | 24.2% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 13.6% | 15.9% | 12.1% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Maks Groom | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Henri Richardsson | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 15.6% | 20.4% | 20.6% |
| Jonathan Riley | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 1.8% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 9.5% | 12.7% | 13.1% | 11.0% | 5.2% |
| Christian Cushman | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 12.5% | 13.4% | 13.1% | 7.1% |
| Andy Leshaw | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 12.5% | 19.4% | 38.7% |
| Ben Mueller | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Micky Munns | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.