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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76+6.32vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32+7.02vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.91+3.77vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.75+3.08vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.50+2.97vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.82+0.85vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.75+0.11vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.40-3.13vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.81-2.11vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College2.82-2.84vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University0.62+3.66vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.76-0.75vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island1.83-2.48vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.24+1.33vs Predicted
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15Maine Maritime Academy0.77-0.78vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont1.27-3.18vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University2.00-6.83vs Predicted
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18Boston University1.69-7.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.32U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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9.02Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.0%1st Place
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6.77Boston College2.910.1%1st Place
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7.08Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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7.97Roger Williams University2.500.1%1st Place
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6.85Dartmouth College2.820.1%1st Place
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7.11Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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4.87Brown University3.400.2%1st Place
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6.89Bowdoin College2.810.1%1st Place
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7.16Connecticut College2.820.1%1st Place
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14.66Salve Regina University0.620.0%1st Place
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11.25Tufts University1.760.0%1st Place
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10.52University of Rhode Island1.830.0%1st Place
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15.33Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.240.0%1st Place
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14.22Maine Maritime Academy0.770.0%1st Place
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12.82University of Vermont1.270.0%1st Place
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10.17Northeastern University2.000.0%1st Place
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10.99Boston University1.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colman Schofield | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Maks Groom | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 1.0% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carmen Cowles | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Cameron Wood | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| William Michels | 8.7% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 15.1% | 15.6% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Hall | 8.1% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 8.6% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Emil Tullberg | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 13.5% | 20.1% | 25.9% |
| Patrick Mulcahy | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 7.0% | 3.0% |
| Jonathan Riley | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 5.2% | 2.0% |
| Andy Leshaw | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 19.4% | 37.7% |
| Henri Richardsson | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 9.6% | 15.6% | 20.4% | 18.2% |
| Christian Cushman | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 13.4% | 13.3% | 7.5% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 1.5% |
| Noah Robitshek | 2.8% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 2.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.