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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.40+4.10vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.81+5.13vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.75+4.31vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.75+3.03vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76+2.06vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.50+2.12vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.83+3.67vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.76+2.88vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University0.62+5.69vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.91-3.24vs Predicted
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11Boston University1.69+0.37vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College2.82-4.77vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College2.82-6.20vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont1.27-1.64vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University2.00-5.06vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy0.77-1.75vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32-8.11vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.24-2.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.1Brown University3.400.1%1st Place
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7.13Bowdoin College2.810.1%1st Place
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7.31Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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7.03Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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7.06U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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8.12Roger Williams University2.500.1%1st Place
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10.67University of Rhode Island1.830.0%1st Place
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10.88Tufts University1.760.0%1st Place
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14.69Salve Regina University0.620.0%1st Place
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6.76Boston College2.910.1%1st Place
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11.37Boston University1.690.0%1st Place
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7.23Connecticut College2.820.1%1st Place
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6.8Dartmouth College2.820.1%1st Place
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12.36University of Vermont1.270.0%1st Place
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9.94Northeastern University2.000.0%1st Place
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14.25Maine Maritime Academy0.770.0%1st Place
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8.89Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.0%1st Place
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15.41Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liam O'Keefe | 13.1% | 15.7% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Hall | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Carmen Cowles | 7.3% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 8.3% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Colman Schofield | 7.8% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Cameron Wood | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Jonathan Riley | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 2.4% |
| Patrick Mulcahy | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 2.5% |
| Emil Tullberg | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 14.5% | 20.7% | 23.8% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Noah Robitshek | 3.4% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 6.8% | 3.4% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 7.9% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| William Michels | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Christian Cushman | 2.4% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 9.4% | 12.5% | 12.8% | 11.5% | 6.8% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| Henri Richardsson | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 11.6% | 13.5% | 19.1% | 19.3% |
| Maks Groom | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Andy Leshaw | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 7.6% | 11.3% | 18.7% | 39.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.