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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.38+6.51vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.03+8.62vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.72+3.46vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.22+4.22vs Predicted
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5University of Miami2.32+5.19vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara1.67+4.23vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.73-1.44vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University2.10+1.26vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48-1.71vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.02-1.38vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University2.42-3.82vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston2.49-4.02vs Predicted
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13Fordham University1.98-3.19vs Predicted
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14North Carolina State University1.57-2.31vs Predicted
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15University of Texas1.01-1.26vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida1.60-4.56vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University1.22-4.68vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin1.09-5.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.51Dartmouth College2.387.0%1st Place
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10.62Bowdoin College2.033.0%1st Place
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6.46Stanford University2.7210.6%1st Place
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8.22Tufts University2.226.3%1st Place
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10.19University of Miami2.324.7%1st Place
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10.23University of California at Santa Barbara1.674.0%1st Place
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5.56Yale University2.7313.1%1st Place
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9.26Jacksonville University2.104.9%1st Place
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7.29U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.487.5%1st Place
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8.62Boston College2.025.9%1st Place
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7.18Georgetown University2.428.1%1st Place
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7.98College of Charleston2.496.6%1st Place
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9.81Fordham University1.984.8%1st Place
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11.69North Carolina State University1.573.1%1st Place
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13.74University of Texas1.011.9%1st Place
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11.44University of South Florida1.602.9%1st Place
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12.32Old Dominion University1.223.0%1st Place
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12.89University of Wisconsin1.092.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Michels | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 4.5% |
| Lucas Woodworth | 10.6% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Ben Mueller | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.2% |
| Atlee Kohl | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% |
| Henry Boeger | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 4.3% |
| Jack Egan | 13.1% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Owen Bannasch | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 1.9% |
| Colman Schofield | 7.5% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Jack Redmond | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Enzo Menditto | 8.1% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% |
| Noah Zittrer | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Jacob Zils | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 2.8% |
| Kevin Gosselin | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 9.7% |
| Matias Martin | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 15.6% | 24.4% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.7% |
| Pierce Brindley | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 11.1% | 12.3% | 14.4% |
| Abe Weston | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 13.8% | 18.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.