Race 3B

old-guard

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

25.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Joseph Morris 12.5% 13.2% 11.3% 11.7% 11.2% 8.2% 6.7% 6.0% 7.2% 4.7% 3.1% 2.3% 1.0% 0.6% 0.3% 0.0%
Jeff Knowles 13.6% 14.9% 11.3% 11.0% 9.1% 8.9% 8.1% 6.8% 5.6% 4.6% 2.7% 2.0% 0.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Patrick Clancy 9.5% 8.3% 7.6% 9.3% 8.6% 9.3% 8.7% 9.4% 8.2% 6.8% 6.3% 3.4% 2.3% 1.2% 0.9% 0.2%
Daniel Liberty 4.7% 6.4% 7.2% 6.7% 6.9% 7.3% 6.9% 7.4% 8.7% 9.1% 8.7% 7.5% 6.4% 3.8% 2.1% 0.2%
Jonathan Lutz 4.2% 5.4% 5.6% 4.9% 6.8% 6.3% 6.6% 8.9% 7.1% 9.4% 10.0% 8.3% 8.6% 5.1% 2.1% 0.7%
David Alfonso 4.6% 5.0% 6.1% 8.2% 7.2% 7.9% 8.2% 7.2% 7.7% 8.2% 8.5% 8.3% 5.3% 5.2% 2.1% 0.3%
Tedd Himler 17.4% 14.0% 13.3% 10.5% 10.8% 8.1% 9.0% 5.7% 4.0% 3.3% 1.7% 1.7% 0.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Michael Russom 2.2% 3.5% 3.7% 3.4% 3.1% 5.0% 5.0% 5.5% 6.7% 6.6% 9.3% 10.7% 12.2% 12.5% 7.9% 2.7%
Edward Glackin 6.6% 6.8% 8.4% 7.4% 7.0% 7.9% 9.5% 7.6% 8.0% 7.6% 7.7% 5.7% 4.9% 2.9% 1.9% 0.1%
Nathan Rosenberg 8.8% 7.5% 9.0% 7.8% 9.1% 10.6% 10.2% 8.8% 7.5% 6.0% 6.1% 3.9% 3.0% 1.2% 0.5% 0.0%
Jennifer Proctor 5.8% 5.5% 5.4% 6.5% 6.5% 6.0% 7.1% 7.9% 8.1% 7.8% 9.9% 8.3% 8.0% 4.3% 2.5% 0.4%
Joseph Kelleher 5.0% 5.2% 6.6% 6.4% 7.9% 6.6% 6.6% 7.9% 7.7% 7.7% 7.0% 10.3% 6.1% 5.0% 3.5% 0.5%
Raphael Cattan 1.2% 1.4% 1.4% 1.6% 1.8% 3.1% 2.3% 2.9% 3.1% 6.7% 4.9% 8.6% 11.8% 16.0% 20.3% 12.9%
Michael Rivlin 2.1% 1.2% 1.5% 2.2% 2.4% 2.3% 2.2% 4.0% 5.6% 5.7% 5.5% 7.9% 15.1% 15.1% 17.0% 10.2%
Katherine Costello 1.6% 1.2% 0.8% 1.6% 1.3% 2.0% 2.2% 2.7% 3.0% 4.2% 5.5% 7.3% 9.5% 17.9% 21.8% 17.4%
Erik Olsen 0.2% 0.5% 0.8% 0.8% 0.3% 0.5% 0.7% 1.3% 1.8% 1.6% 3.1% 3.8% 4.8% 8.4% 17.0% 54.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.