Race 13B

oberg

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tyler Rice 10.2% 11.8% 11.5% 10.2% 10.1% 8.0% 8.0% 7.6% 7.6% 5.0% 4.5% 3.4% 1.8% 0.3%
John Meleney 14.6% 12.0% 13.2% 10.3% 9.6% 8.6% 10.2% 7.7% 4.6% 3.5% 2.4% 2.4% 0.9% 0.0%
Martin McDonald 5.4% 4.2% 5.3% 6.9% 6.1% 5.9% 5.6% 6.6% 8.0% 10.8% 11.2% 11.5% 10.9% 1.6%
Max Nickbarg 13.4% 15.8% 11.3% 13.4% 9.8% 8.7% 7.1% 7.2% 5.1% 4.0% 2.3% 1.2% 0.7% 0.0%
Christopher Price 6.5% 8.4% 8.7% 8.6% 7.8% 8.9% 9.5% 8.0% 7.8% 7.6% 8.2% 6.1% 3.3% 0.6%
Trevor Burd 9.4% 7.4% 11.5% 8.7% 10.1% 8.6% 9.3% 6.8% 8.7% 6.6% 6.4% 3.6% 2.4% 0.5%
Ryan White 6.9% 8.4% 7.2% 6.0% 6.8% 8.9% 7.7% 9.0% 7.8% 9.4% 8.6% 7.4% 5.2% 0.7%
Carolyn Naughton 9.2% 8.9% 7.8% 8.4% 8.5% 7.9% 7.4% 10.1% 7.1% 7.9% 6.8% 5.9% 3.6% 0.5%
William Cotta 6.1% 4.8% 5.5% 5.8% 7.1% 6.5% 8.2% 8.7% 9.3% 10.0% 10.4% 10.2% 6.0% 1.4%
Michael Sturges 5.8% 5.6% 5.4% 7.1% 7.5% 8.7% 8.4% 7.2% 8.5% 9.0% 9.0% 11.1% 5.8% 0.9%
Ben Lamont 5.1% 4.7% 4.5% 5.3% 7.7% 7.6% 6.8% 6.8% 10.2% 9.0% 11.2% 10.4% 9.3% 1.4%
Katherine Doble 5.0% 5.4% 5.8% 6.8% 6.0% 7.3% 7.9% 9.7% 8.8% 9.1% 8.2% 10.0% 8.5% 1.5%
Neil Forrester 2.2% 2.3% 1.8% 2.1% 2.6% 3.6% 3.0% 4.0% 5.5% 6.8% 8.8% 13.8% 32.7% 10.8%
Ben Ryan 0.2% 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.3% 0.8% 0.9% 0.6% 1.0% 1.3% 2.0% 3.0% 8.9% 79.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.