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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.75+4.80vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.04+6.52vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.04+6.68vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.38+3.38vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.20+3.43vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.40+3.12vs Predicted
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7Tulane University2.02+1.84vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University1.97+1.64vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77+0.72vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.22+1.74vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.10-0.43vs Predicted
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12George Washington University0.93+1.71vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston1.81-2.94vs Predicted
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14Yale University2.55-6.99vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College1.51-3.06vs Predicted
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16Stanford University2.61-9.77vs Predicted
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17North Carolina State University1.26-4.50vs Predicted
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18University of Pennsylvania1.72-7.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.8Dartmouth College2.7512.5%1st Place
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8.52Brown University2.046.5%1st Place
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9.68U. S. Naval Academy2.045.1%1st Place
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7.38Cornell University2.388.7%1st Place
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8.43Georgetown University2.205.8%1st Place
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9.12Boston College2.405.1%1st Place
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8.84Tulane University2.025.1%1st Place
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9.64Roger Williams University1.974.5%1st Place
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9.72Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.774.0%1st Place
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11.74Northeastern University1.222.9%1st Place
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10.57Harvard University2.103.2%1st Place
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13.71George Washington University0.931.7%1st Place
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10.06College of Charleston1.814.3%1st Place
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7.01Yale University2.559.4%1st Place
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11.94Bowdoin College1.513.5%1st Place
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6.23Stanford University2.6110.6%1st Place
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12.5North Carolina State University1.262.5%1st Place
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10.08University of Pennsylvania1.724.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maddie Hawkins | 12.5% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 6.5% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.8% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 3.2% |
| Bridget Green | 8.7% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Piper Holthus | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 1.4% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.9% |
| Samantha Gardner | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.9% |
| Lucy Meagher | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 2.9% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 3.4% |
| Eva Ermlich | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 11.2% | 11.8% |
| Cordelia Burn | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 4.9% |
| Avery Canavan | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 13.6% | 28.0% |
| Emma Tallman | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 2.8% |
| Emma Cowles | 9.4% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Kyra Phelan | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 11.7% | 12.8% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 10.6% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Olivia Sowa | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 12.3% | 16.7% |
| Torrey Chisari | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.