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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.40+4.22vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.43+6.70vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.75+4.37vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.75+3.06vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.91+1.67vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.82+0.96vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76+0.17vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.81-1.05vs Predicted
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9Boston University1.69+2.18vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32-0.94vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College2.82-3.85vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont1.11+1.47vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University0.62+1.45vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University2.50-6.14vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.37-2.73vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island2.07-6.18vs Predicted
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17Maine Maritime Academy0.77-2.68vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.24-2.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.22Brown University3.400.1%1st Place
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8.7Tufts University2.430.0%1st Place
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7.37Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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7.06Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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6.67Boston College2.910.1%1st Place
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6.96Dartmouth College2.820.1%1st Place
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7.17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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6.95Bowdoin College2.810.1%1st Place
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11.18Boston University1.690.0%1st Place
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9.06Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.1%1st Place
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7.15Connecticut College2.820.1%1st Place
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13.47University of Vermont1.110.0%1st Place
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14.45Salve Regina University0.620.0%1st Place
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7.86Roger Williams University2.500.1%1st Place
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12.27Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
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9.82University of Rhode Island2.070.0%1st Place
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14.32Maine Maritime Academy0.770.0%1st Place
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15.34Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liam O'Keefe | 13.9% | 12.5% | 13.2% | 10.8% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Mueller | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 7.9% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Carmen Cowles | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 9.6% | 10.5% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| William Michels | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Colman Schofield | 7.7% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Hall | 8.0% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Noah Robitshek | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 1.5% |
| Maks Groom | 6.0% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Hamilton | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 9.1% | 12.5% | 15.0% | 15.4% | 11.7% |
| Emil Tullberg | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 13.1% | 19.6% | 22.5% |
| Cameron Wood | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Joshua Dillon | 1.7% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 12.0% | 12.6% | 10.3% | 6.0% |
| Miles Williams | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| Henri Richardsson | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 15.7% | 18.0% | 20.7% |
| Andy Leshaw | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 13.3% | 20.5% | 35.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.