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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.43+7.61vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.75+5.41vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.81+4.20vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76+3.07vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College2.82+1.93vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.75+1.20vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32+1.83vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.91-1.47vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.82-2.12vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.07+0.06vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.40-5.92vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.50-3.58vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University0.62+1.45vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont1.11-1.05vs Predicted
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15Boston University1.69-3.82vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy0.77-1.71vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University1.37-4.49vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.24-2.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.61Tufts University2.430.1%1st Place
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7.41Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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7.2Bowdoin College2.810.1%1st Place
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7.07U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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6.93Connecticut College2.820.1%1st Place
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7.2Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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8.83Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.1%1st Place
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6.53Boston College2.910.1%1st Place
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6.88Dartmouth College2.820.1%1st Place
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10.06University of Rhode Island2.070.0%1st Place
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5.08Brown University3.400.2%1st Place
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8.42Roger Williams University2.500.1%1st Place
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14.45Salve Regina University0.620.0%1st Place
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12.95University of Vermont1.110.0%1st Place
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11.18Boston University1.690.0%1st Place
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14.29Maine Maritime Academy0.770.0%1st Place
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12.51Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
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15.4Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Mueller | 6.1% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.8% |
| Carmen Cowles | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Hall | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Colman Schofield | 8.5% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 7.7% | 11.1% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Maks Groom | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 9.5% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| William Michels | 6.8% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Miles Williams | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 0.8% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 15.4% | 14.0% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Wood | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Emil Tullberg | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 13.9% | 19.2% | 23.3% |
| Ryan Hamilton | 2.0% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 11.7% | 13.7% | 13.8% | 9.8% |
| Noah Robitshek | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 2.3% |
| Henri Richardsson | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 14.9% | 19.9% | 18.5% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.2% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 13.8% | 10.4% | 7.6% |
| Andy Leshaw | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 12.3% | 20.4% | 36.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.