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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76+6.26vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.83+8.87vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.40+2.11vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.43+4.32vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32+3.67vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.82+0.96vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.75+0.13vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.37+4.16vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont1.11+4.13vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.91-3.21vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College2.82-3.95vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.50-3.59vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.75-5.96vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College2.81-7.25vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University0.62-0.43vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy0.77-1.82vs Predicted
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17Boston University1.69-5.76vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.24-2.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.26U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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10.87University of Rhode Island1.830.0%1st Place
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5.11Brown University3.400.1%1st Place
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8.32Tufts University2.430.1%1st Place
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8.67Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.0%1st Place
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6.96Dartmouth College2.820.1%1st Place
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7.13Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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12.16Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
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13.13University of Vermont1.110.0%1st Place
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6.79Boston College2.910.1%1st Place
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7.05Connecticut College2.820.1%1st Place
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8.41Roger Williams University2.500.1%1st Place
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7.04Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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6.75Bowdoin College2.810.1%1st Place
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14.57Salve Regina University0.620.0%1st Place
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14.18Maine Maritime Academy0.770.0%1st Place
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11.24Boston University1.690.0%1st Place
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15.38Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colman Schofield | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Riley | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 2.1% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 12.9% | 13.3% | 12.1% | 11.5% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Mueller | 6.8% | 4.7% | 8.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Maks Groom | 4.8% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| William Michels | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Carmen Cowles | 7.6% | 9.9% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 14.0% | 10.2% | 5.8% |
| Ryan Hamilton | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 8.7% | 11.7% | 13.9% | 15.6% | 9.2% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 9.6% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 7.7% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Cameron Wood | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 8.7% | 6.5% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Hall | 9.3% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Emil Tullberg | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 10.2% | 13.9% | 20.0% | 22.7% |
| Henri Richardsson | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 13.1% | 14.2% | 17.0% | 18.6% |
| Noah Robitshek | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 2.5% |
| Andy Leshaw | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 12.4% | 19.1% | 37.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.