Race 1A

seisa-fall-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

90.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Ethan Froelich 21.6% 28.3% 33.3% 12.5% 3.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Peter Foley III 48.4% 31.6% 15.9% 3.0% 1.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Dutch Byerly 24.0% 29.5% 31.3% 11.9% 2.6% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Evan Ehrensing 1.8% 4.0% 7.0% 24.0% 29.8% 20.7% 9.3% 2.7% 0.7% 0.0%
Cole Broberg 1.9% 3.0% 6.8% 24.6% 25.3% 20.9% 10.9% 5.5% 1.1% 0.0%
Sydney VanMeerhaeghe 1.2% 1.6% 3.3% 13.8% 20.4% 25.9% 22.1% 9.2% 2.5% 0.0%
Meghan Collett 0.3% 0.4% 0.8% 3.9% 5.1% 10.9% 20.5% 30.2% 27.9% 0.0%
Jared Kusner 0.5% 0.5% 0.5% 2.4% 5.3% 8.1% 15.1% 24.0% 43.6% 0.0%
Ana Savva Garcia 0.3% 1.1% 1.1% 3.9% 6.8% 12.2% 22.0% 28.4% 24.2% 0.0%
Cole Broberg 1.9% 3.0% 6.8% 24.6% 25.3% 20.9% 10.9% 5.5% 1.1% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.