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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington2.87+1.25vs Predicted
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2University of Puget Sound1.26+2.03vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University1.88+0.29vs Predicted
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6University of Oregon2.76-3.71vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University2.02-5.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.25University of Washington2.870.3%1st Place
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4.03University of Puget Sound1.260.1%1st Place
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3.29Western Washington University1.880.1%1st Place
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2.29University of Oregon2.760.3%1st Place
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3.16Western Washington University2.020.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Glen Stellmacher | 33.3% | 31.1% | 19.3% | 10.4% | 5.9% |
| Mike Knape | 5.6% | 7.5% | 15.2% | 21.9% | 49.8% |
| Erika Vranizan | 13.2% | 15.4% | 22.6% | 27.2% | 21.6% |
| Elliot Drake | 32.1% | 28.9% | 22.0% | 12.4% | 4.6% |
| Bryan Rust | 15.8% | 17.1% | 20.9% | 28.1% | 18.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.