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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.20+7.61vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77+7.75vs Predicted
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3George Washington University0.93+10.45vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania1.72+6.24vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.55+1.84vs Predicted
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6Stanford University2.61+0.20vs Predicted
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7Cornell University2.38+0.40vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.04+1.65vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.40+0.12vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.10+0.36vs Predicted
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11Tulane University2.02-2.24vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.22-0.19vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston1.81-3.28vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College1.51-1.92vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College2.75-9.19vs Predicted
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16North Carolina State University1.26-3.43vs Predicted
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17Brown University2.04-8.12vs Predicted
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18Roger Williams University1.97-8.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.61Georgetown University2.205.9%1st Place
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9.75Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.775.2%1st Place
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13.45George Washington University0.932.0%1st Place
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10.24University of Pennsylvania1.723.9%1st Place
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6.84Yale University2.558.5%1st Place
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6.2Stanford University2.6111.1%1st Place
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7.4Cornell University2.388.2%1st Place
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9.65U. S. Naval Academy2.044.5%1st Place
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9.12Boston College2.405.8%1st Place
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10.36Harvard University2.104.5%1st Place
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8.76Tulane University2.026.2%1st Place
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11.81Northeastern University1.223.2%1st Place
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9.72College of Charleston1.814.4%1st Place
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12.08Bowdoin College1.512.8%1st Place
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5.81Dartmouth College2.7512.0%1st Place
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12.57North Carolina State University1.262.3%1st Place
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8.88Brown University2.045.3%1st Place
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9.76Roger Williams University1.974.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Piper Holthus | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.0% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 3.2% |
| Avery Canavan | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 14.1% | 25.2% |
| Torrey Chisari | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 4.9% |
| Emma Cowles | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 11.1% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Bridget Green | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 2.9% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.2% |
| Cordelia Burn | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% |
| Samantha Gardner | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.1% |
| Eva Ermlich | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 12.3% |
| Emma Tallman | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 3.3% |
| Kyra Phelan | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 12.7% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 12.0% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Olivia Sowa | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 17.5% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.0% |
| Lucy Meagher | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.