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📊 Prediction Accuracy
0.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.10+9.07vs Predicted
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2Tulane University2.02+6.67vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.04+5.44vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.61+2.18vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.38+2.12vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.40+3.00vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.04+2.42vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.22+3.47vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.75-3.50vs Predicted
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10George Washington University0.93+3.19vs Predicted
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11Yale University2.55-4.36vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77-2.78vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston1.81-3.28vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania1.72-4.15vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College1.13-2.58vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University0.62-2.12vs Predicted
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17Georgetown University2.20-8.86vs Predicted
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18North Carolina State University1.26-5.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.07Harvard University2.103.6%1st Place
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8.67Tulane University2.025.7%1st Place
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8.44Brown University2.045.8%1st Place
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6.18Stanford University2.6110.3%1st Place
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7.12Cornell University2.388.8%1st Place
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9.0Boston College2.405.3%1st Place
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9.42U. S. Naval Academy2.045.0%1st Place
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11.47Northeastern University1.222.6%1st Place
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5.5Dartmouth College2.7513.9%1st Place
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13.19George Washington University0.931.7%1st Place
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6.64Yale University2.5510.5%1st Place
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9.22Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.774.7%1st Place
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9.72College of Charleston1.814.3%1st Place
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9.85University of Pennsylvania1.724.9%1st Place
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12.42Bowdoin College1.132.2%1st Place
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13.88Roger Williams University0.621.9%1st Place
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8.14Georgetown University2.206.3%1st Place
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12.07North Carolina State University1.262.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cordelia Burn | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 3.2% |
| Samantha Gardner | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.3% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 10.3% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Bridget Green | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 1.4% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 2.4% |
| Eva Ermlich | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 8.6% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 13.9% | 11.9% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Avery Canavan | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 14.3% | 20.1% |
| Emma Cowles | 10.5% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.0% |
| Emma Tallman | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.1% |
| Torrey Chisari | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.5% |
| Rebecca Schill | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 12.5% | 13.2% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 14.4% | 28.6% |
| Piper Holthus | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Olivia Sowa | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 12.3% | 11.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.