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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2University of Washington2.87+0.20vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University1.88+0.35vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University2.02-0.84vs Predicted
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6University of Puget Sound1.26-2.03vs Predicted
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7University of Oregon2.76-4.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.2University of Washington2.870.4%1st Place
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3.35Western Washington University1.880.1%1st Place
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3.16Western Washington University2.020.1%1st Place
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3.97University of Puget Sound1.260.1%1st Place
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2.31University of Oregon2.760.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Glen Stellmacher | 37.2% | 27.0% | 19.7% | 10.8% | 5.3% |
| Erika Vranizan | 10.2% | 17.3% | 22.7% | 26.5% | 23.3% |
| Bryan Rust | 15.0% | 18.1% | 21.7% | 25.9% | 19.3% |
| Mike Knape | 5.9% | 8.9% | 15.5% | 21.9% | 47.8% |
| Elliot Drake | 31.7% | 28.7% | 20.4% | 14.9% | 4.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.