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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.30+5.94vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.03+5.65vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45+3.57vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.28+3.14vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.23-0.59vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University1.16+4.62vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.98+0.80vs Predicted
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92.64-3.01vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.63-0.79vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.52-1.44vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont1.89-3.61vs Predicted
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13Boston University0.72-1.44vs Predicted
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14Boston College3.07-9.28vs Predicted
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15Yale University3.12-10.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.94Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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7.65Bowdoin College2.030.0%1st Place
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6.57U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.1%1st Place
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7.14Brown University2.280.1%1st Place
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4.41Dartmouth College3.230.2%1st Place
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10.62Salve Regina University1.160.0%1st Place
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7.8Tufts University1.980.1%1st Place
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5.992.640.1%1st Place
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9.21Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.630.0%1st Place
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9.56Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
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8.39University of Vermont1.890.0%1st Place
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11.56Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
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4.72Boston College3.070.2%1st Place
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4.44Yale University3.120.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Burn | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 2.4% |
| Ellie Maus | 4.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 2.8% |
| Emily Bornarth | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Blaire McCarthy | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 1.6% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 15.1% | 15.7% | 14.6% | 11.7% | 11.9% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 1.4% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 10.3% | 13.0% | 17.8% | 22.6% |
| Chloe Holder | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 3.3% |
| Dana Haig | 9.5% | 10.7% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 12.4% | 13.2% | 8.5% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 12.4% | 15.0% | 11.7% |
| Grace Gear | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 6.2% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 16.3% | 38.7% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 15.7% | 12.4% | 13.0% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 17.2% | 13.0% | 14.5% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.