Race 3A

victorian-urn

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Maddie Hawkins 17.3% 17.3% 12.7% 12.6% 9.7% 8.0% 6.7% 4.7% 4.5% 3.7% 2.0% 0.3% 0.4% 0.1%
Mia Nicolosi 16.0% 15.3% 13.8% 10.9% 10.9% 9.4% 8.4% 6.0% 3.9% 2.4% 1.5% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
Sarah Burn 6.5% 6.4% 8.5% 6.7% 7.8% 7.7% 8.0% 10.6% 9.2% 8.8% 7.4% 6.4% 4.3% 1.7%
Blaire McCarthy 5.2% 7.4% 8.5% 7.1% 7.6% 9.2% 7.9% 9.2% 8.7% 9.2% 7.6% 6.8% 3.5% 2.1%
Pearl Lattanzi 1.8% 1.9% 2.3% 2.9% 3.1% 3.1% 4.7% 5.5% 6.3% 6.8% 8.5% 11.9% 18.4% 22.8%
Dana Haig 8.6% 8.3% 9.4% 9.8% 11.1% 8.2% 9.9% 7.7% 8.0% 6.1% 5.8% 4.4% 2.0% 0.7%
Claire Siegel-Wilson 3.4% 4.2% 4.4% 6.1% 4.9% 5.3% 5.3% 7.4% 8.1% 9.9% 11.6% 9.7% 10.2% 9.5%
Chloe Holder 5.6% 5.0% 5.7% 5.5% 7.4% 7.3% 6.5% 8.0% 8.3% 9.5% 8.5% 9.8% 8.4% 4.5%
Emily Bornarth 7.5% 7.6% 7.6% 7.9% 9.2% 10.4% 8.3% 8.8% 8.8% 8.0% 6.9% 4.5% 3.6% 0.9%
Ellie Maus 5.1% 3.4% 6.1% 7.0% 6.6% 6.5% 8.4% 8.9% 8.5% 9.7% 8.9% 8.9% 7.9% 4.1%
Grace Gear 4.3% 4.5% 4.8% 4.4% 5.1% 8.5% 7.4% 8.6% 8.6% 7.9% 11.5% 9.1% 9.6% 5.7%
Lucy Paskoff 0.9% 1.4% 1.7% 1.7% 1.6% 2.6% 2.8% 2.9% 4.4% 5.6% 6.5% 11.9% 18.7% 37.3%
Colleen O'Brien 14.5% 14.9% 10.6% 13.9% 9.9% 8.3% 9.0% 5.9% 5.7% 3.3% 2.1% 1.2% 0.6% 0.1%
Lucia Loosbrock 3.3% 2.4% 3.9% 3.5% 5.1% 5.5% 6.7% 5.8% 7.0% 9.1% 11.2% 14.1% 12.0% 10.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.