Race 4A

victorian-urn

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

14.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Dana Haig 9.7% 8.2% 12.2% 8.8% 10.0% 8.8% 9.4% 9.3% 6.6% 4.5% 5.5% 3.8% 2.1% 1.1%
Emily Bornarth 8.2% 9.2% 8.2% 8.3% 7.4% 10.6% 9.1% 9.7% 8.7% 7.5% 5.5% 3.7% 3.0% 0.9%
Chloe Holder 4.7% 5.0% 6.7% 6.1% 5.4% 6.6% 7.2% 9.3% 8.2% 8.2% 10.6% 9.6% 8.6% 3.8%
Lucia Loosbrock 2.0% 2.9% 4.0% 4.4% 4.5% 5.0% 7.0% 5.3% 7.7% 9.9% 9.3% 13.2% 13.1% 11.7%
Sarah Burn 5.8% 5.8% 7.1% 8.6% 7.8% 8.9% 8.1% 7.8% 10.4% 8.6% 8.4% 6.2% 4.4% 2.1%
Lucy Paskoff 0.7% 1.9% 1.4% 2.3% 1.6% 2.4% 2.5% 3.6% 3.4% 5.8% 6.6% 11.3% 17.2% 39.3%
Maddie Hawkins 18.9% 16.2% 12.8% 12.0% 11.8% 9.2% 6.2% 5.2% 3.5% 1.9% 1.6% 0.3% 0.4% 0.0%
Mia Nicolosi 14.1% 17.2% 11.1% 12.5% 9.9% 9.1% 6.6% 6.3% 5.1% 4.2% 2.2% 1.2% 0.5% 0.0%
Claire Siegel-Wilson 4.7% 2.4% 2.4% 4.7% 4.4% 5.3% 5.1% 6.7% 8.3% 9.9% 11.5% 12.3% 13.5% 8.8%
Colleen O'Brien 13.4% 12.8% 15.0% 11.2% 10.5% 8.6% 8.3% 7.6% 5.2% 3.5% 2.6% 0.8% 0.5% 0.0%
Pearl Lattanzi 1.6% 2.4% 1.5% 2.2% 4.1% 3.4% 4.6% 4.3% 7.0% 6.6% 9.5% 12.8% 17.6% 22.4%
Blaire McCarthy 6.7% 5.2% 6.9% 7.4% 9.4% 8.0% 10.7% 8.1% 8.8% 9.5% 7.1% 5.6% 4.6% 2.0%
Ellie Maus 5.2% 5.8% 6.0% 5.0% 6.4% 7.8% 7.3% 9.9% 8.6% 9.5% 9.8% 9.0% 6.1% 3.6%
Grace Gear 4.3% 5.0% 4.7% 6.5% 6.8% 6.3% 7.9% 6.9% 8.5% 10.4% 9.8% 10.2% 8.4% 4.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.