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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.99+7.04vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.71+3.13vs Predicted
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3Cornell University1.79+5.65vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.56+3.02vs Predicted
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5Stanford University2.64+1.25vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63+2.94vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston1.45+4.12vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania1.77+0.27vs Predicted
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9Harvard University1.90+0.55vs Predicted
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10George Washington University1.07+1.76vs Predicted
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11Tulane University1.34-0.51vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.18-0.31vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University1.86-3.41vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College2.10-4.98vs Predicted
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15North Carolina State University1.09-3.79vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy1.18-4.16vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University0.49-3.38vs Predicted
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18Bowdoin College1.84-9.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.04Brown University1.996.8%1st Place
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5.13Yale University2.7114.5%1st Place
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8.65Cornell University1.795.7%1st Place
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7.02Boston College2.568.9%1st Place
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6.25Stanford University2.6411.8%1st Place
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8.94Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.635.5%1st Place
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11.12College of Charleston1.453.0%1st Place
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8.27University of Pennsylvania1.776.8%1st Place
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9.55Harvard University1.903.8%1st Place
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11.76George Washington University1.073.0%1st Place
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10.49Tulane University1.344.0%1st Place
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11.69Northeastern University1.182.1%1st Place
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9.59Georgetown University1.864.3%1st Place
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9.02Dartmouth College2.105.2%1st Place
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11.21North Carolina State University1.093.3%1st Place
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11.84U. S. Naval Academy1.182.5%1st Place
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13.62Roger Williams University0.491.9%1st Place
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8.79Bowdoin College1.846.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katharine Doble | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 14.5% | 13.9% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Devling | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.7% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Hannah Freeman | 11.8% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Lucy Brock | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.1% |
| Grace Squires | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.8% |
| Sofia Segalla | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.2% |
| Sarah Burn | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.9% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 12.0% | 10.4% |
| Mia Hanes | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.7% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 2.1% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 10.1% |
| Kelly Bates | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 2.9% |
| Sarah Young | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 1.9% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.2% |
| Ava Farley | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 11.3% |
| Katherine McGagh | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 12.3% | 30.8% |
| Lauren Russler | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 1.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.