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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington2.87+1.23vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University2.02+1.17vs Predicted
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3University of Oregon2.76-0.70vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University1.88-2.69vs Predicted
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7University of Puget Sound1.26-3.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.23University of Washington2.870.4%1st Place
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3.17Western Washington University2.020.1%1st Place
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2.3University of Oregon2.760.3%1st Place
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3.31Western Washington University1.880.1%1st Place
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3.99University of Puget Sound1.260.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Glen Stellmacher | 35.7% | 27.9% | 20.0% | 11.0% | 5.4% |
| Bryan Rust | 13.4% | 17.7% | 24.4% | 27.1% | 17.4% |
| Elliot Drake | 33.4% | 26.4% | 21.6% | 14.2% | 4.4% |
| Erika Vranizan | 11.2% | 17.6% | 22.0% | 27.4% | 21.8% |
| Mike Knape | 6.3% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 20.3% | 51.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.