Race 5A

victorian-urn

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

14.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Blaire McCarthy 6.9% 5.4% 9.5% 7.9% 7.8% 8.0% 9.1% 8.3% 9.3% 8.4% 6.3% 5.3% 5.0% 2.8%
Dana Haig 10.6% 11.3% 7.7% 9.8% 8.8% 9.9% 10.4% 8.6% 7.3% 6.3% 3.9% 2.4% 2.0% 1.0%
Grace Gear 4.7% 4.6% 5.3% 6.3% 5.7% 6.8% 4.7% 7.8% 9.5% 10.2% 8.9% 12.1% 8.4% 5.0%
Ellie Maus 4.7% 4.8% 5.8% 7.0% 6.9% 7.7% 7.5% 8.1% 8.8% 8.8% 9.2% 9.6% 8.0% 3.1%
Chloe Holder 3.8% 4.8% 6.2% 5.1% 6.8% 7.0% 7.7% 7.0% 9.4% 9.3% 9.7% 10.4% 8.2% 4.6%
Maddie Hawkins 16.2% 14.7% 13.2% 12.2% 12.5% 8.3% 6.5% 5.7% 5.0% 2.4% 2.0% 1.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Lucia Loosbrock 3.3% 3.3% 4.4% 4.2% 6.1% 4.6% 5.9% 6.3% 7.2% 8.7% 11.5% 10.2% 12.9% 11.4%
Mia Nicolosi 15.5% 15.8% 11.9% 12.4% 10.5% 7.7% 7.5% 5.6% 5.5% 3.4% 2.6% 1.1% 0.5% 0.0%
Emily Bornarth 7.9% 5.9% 9.5% 7.5% 9.4% 8.5% 9.8% 9.3% 7.3% 9.3% 6.4% 5.3% 2.3% 1.6%
Colleen O'Brien 13.2% 14.0% 13.7% 11.9% 8.3% 10.9% 7.9% 6.8% 5.6% 3.3% 2.6% 1.2% 0.6% 0.0%
Claire Siegel-Wilson 3.1% 4.3% 2.8% 4.0% 4.7% 5.3% 6.4% 7.1% 7.1% 9.0% 11.5% 12.6% 12.4% 9.7%
Pearl Lattanzi 1.8% 2.8% 1.7% 2.1% 3.0% 3.7% 3.9% 5.9% 5.0% 8.4% 10.2% 13.4% 16.8% 21.3%
Sarah Burn 7.1% 7.2% 6.5% 7.6% 7.8% 8.6% 9.5% 10.1% 8.3% 7.0% 7.9% 6.1% 4.7% 1.6%
Lucy Paskoff 1.2% 1.1% 1.8% 2.0% 1.7% 3.0% 3.2% 3.4% 4.7% 5.5% 7.3% 9.2% 18.1% 37.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.