← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
2Dartmouth College3.23+2.26vs Predicted
-
3Brown University2.28+3.89vs Predicted
-
42.64+1.95vs Predicted
-
5Northeastern University1.52+4.46vs Predicted
-
6University of Vermont1.89+2.43vs Predicted
-
7Bowdoin College2.03+1.06vs Predicted
-
8Harvard University2.30-1.24vs Predicted
-
9Boston College3.07-4.25vs Predicted
-
10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45-3.35vs Predicted
-
11Yale University3.12-6.32vs Predicted
-
12Tufts University1.98-3.91vs Predicted
-
13Salve Regina University1.16-2.51vs Predicted
-
14Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.63-4.92vs Predicted
-
15Boston University0.72-3.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.26Dartmouth College3.230.2%1st Place
-
6.89Brown University2.280.1%1st Place
-
5.952.640.1%1st Place
-
9.46Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
-
8.43University of Vermont1.890.0%1st Place
-
8.06Bowdoin College2.030.0%1st Place
-
6.76Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
-
4.75Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
-
6.65U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.1%1st Place
-
4.68Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
-
8.09Tufts University1.980.0%1st Place
-
10.49Salve Regina University1.160.0%1st Place
-
9.08Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.630.0%1st Place
-
11.45Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maddie Hawkins | 18.6% | 14.6% | 15.0% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Blaire McCarthy | 6.6% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.0% |
| Dana Haig | 8.8% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 13.5% | 12.5% | 12.5% |
| Grace Gear | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 12.1% | 8.8% | 5.5% |
| Ellie Maus | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 4.5% |
| Sarah Burn | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 3.2% | 1.5% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 14.7% | 15.4% | 10.7% | 12.6% | 11.1% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Emily Bornarth | 8.0% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 1.2% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 14.0% | 13.8% | 13.7% | 12.4% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Chloe Holder | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 7.2% | 4.8% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 13.6% | 17.2% | 20.6% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 13.1% | 9.2% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 19.0% | 37.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.