Race 7A

victorian-urn

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Maddie Hawkins 16.7% 16.7% 13.6% 12.3% 9.6% 8.9% 7.3% 4.6% 4.7% 2.0% 2.3% 0.3% 1.0% 0.0%
Sarah Burn 6.3% 9.0% 7.5% 7.7% 6.9% 9.6% 9.2% 8.2% 8.5% 9.6% 7.1% 5.3% 3.5% 1.6%
Lucia Loosbrock 3.8% 2.8% 3.9% 4.0% 4.8% 5.5% 5.1% 5.1% 5.2% 9.9% 11.0% 13.0% 14.6% 11.3%
Colleen O'Brien 13.1% 15.7% 11.2% 12.2% 11.2% 9.3% 7.2% 6.5% 6.6% 3.0% 2.0% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2%
Ellie Maus 4.0% 4.9% 5.8% 6.3% 6.9% 8.1% 7.7% 8.7% 8.7% 8.4% 9.8% 8.9% 7.3% 4.5%
Emily Bornarth 7.9% 6.0% 8.6% 9.1% 10.0% 8.1% 8.1% 9.5% 8.2% 7.3% 7.4% 5.1% 3.7% 1.0%
Dana Haig 10.9% 10.1% 9.8% 8.6% 10.7% 8.8% 8.9% 9.2% 7.1% 6.4% 4.1% 3.7% 1.2% 0.5%
Blaire McCarthy 7.1% 6.8% 7.7% 7.1% 7.3% 8.6% 9.2% 8.2% 8.3% 7.9% 7.9% 7.2% 4.6% 2.1%
Mia Nicolosi 14.4% 12.9% 14.0% 13.5% 9.8% 9.1% 7.6% 6.7% 5.0% 3.4% 1.7% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
Grace Gear 4.4% 3.2% 4.9% 5.1% 6.2% 7.6% 6.5% 8.5% 8.8% 9.5% 10.1% 10.8% 8.9% 5.5%
Lucy Paskoff 1.2% 1.6% 1.4% 1.2% 1.6% 1.8% 3.9% 2.9% 4.4% 6.0% 6.7% 10.1% 15.8% 41.4%
Claire Siegel-Wilson 3.3% 2.9% 3.8% 3.8% 5.9% 4.9% 6.1% 7.4% 9.4% 10.1% 10.4% 11.7% 11.4% 8.9%
Chloe Holder 4.8% 5.2% 5.5% 6.2% 6.4% 5.9% 7.6% 9.6% 8.9% 10.2% 9.7% 8.7% 7.6% 3.7%
Pearl Lattanzi 2.1% 2.2% 2.3% 2.9% 2.7% 3.8% 5.6% 4.9% 6.2% 6.3% 9.8% 12.5% 19.5% 19.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.