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📊 Prediction Accuracy
7.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.12+3.57vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.23+2.15vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.28+4.07vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont1.89+3.34vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45+0.65vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.63+2.25vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University1.16+2.21vs Predicted
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9Boston College3.07-4.25vs Predicted
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102.64-3.93vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.30-3.90vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.52-2.47vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.98-4.93vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College2.03-6.21vs Predicted
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15Boston University0.72-3.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.57Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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4.15Dartmouth College3.230.2%1st Place
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7.07Brown University2.280.1%1st Place
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8.34University of Vermont1.890.0%1st Place
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6.65U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.1%1st Place
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9.25Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.630.0%1st Place
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10.21Salve Regina University1.160.0%1st Place
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4.75Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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6.072.640.1%1st Place
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7.1Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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9.53Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
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8.07Tufts University1.980.0%1st Place
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7.79Bowdoin College2.030.1%1st Place
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11.46Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mia Nicolosi | 14.4% | 18.2% | 12.3% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 18.6% | 15.5% | 15.1% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Blaire McCarthy | 6.0% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 3.5% | 1.9% |
| Grace Gear | 3.3% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 4.3% |
| Emily Bornarth | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.8% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 12.1% | 11.3% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 18.0% | 19.7% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 15.0% | 14.3% | 12.1% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Dana Haig | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Sarah Burn | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 1.7% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 12.9% | 13.3% |
| Chloe Holder | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 4.6% |
| Ellie Maus | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 2.5% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 11.6% | 16.8% | 37.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.