← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University3.12+3.25vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45+3.97vs Predicted
-
3Bowdoin College2.03+4.54vs Predicted
-
4Harvard University2.30+2.72vs Predicted
-
5Dartmouth College3.23-0.94vs Predicted
-
6University of Vermont1.89+2.12vs Predicted
-
7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12-0.06vs Predicted
-
8Tufts University1.98-0.37vs Predicted
-
9Boston College2.04-1.38vs Predicted
-
10Brown University2.28-3.23vs Predicted
-
11Salve Regina University1.16-0.71vs Predicted
-
13Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.63-4.21vs Predicted
-
14Boston University0.72-2.71vs Predicted
-
15Northeastern University1.52-5.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.25Yale University3.120.2%1st Place
-
5.97U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.1%1st Place
-
7.54Bowdoin College2.030.1%1st Place
-
6.72Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
-
4.06Dartmouth College3.230.2%1st Place
-
8.12University of Vermont1.890.1%1st Place
-
6.94Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.1%1st Place
-
7.63Tufts University1.980.1%1st Place
-
7.62Boston College2.040.1%1st Place
-
6.77Brown University2.280.1%1st Place
-
10.29Salve Regina University1.160.0%1st Place
-
8.79Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.630.0%1st Place
-
11.29Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
-
9.02Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mia Nicolosi | 18.2% | 15.9% | 15.3% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Emily Bornarth | 8.9% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 1.0% |
| Ellie Maus | 5.9% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 3.7% |
| Sarah Burn | 5.7% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 1.8% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 17.0% | 19.7% | 13.7% | 12.6% | 10.4% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Grace Gear | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 5.6% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 2.5% |
| Chloe Holder | 6.1% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 4.7% |
| Libby Redmond | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 3.5% |
| Blaire McCarthy | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 1.9% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 18.3% | 20.2% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 9.6% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 10.9% | 16.6% | 37.5% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 13.5% | 11.8% | 12.5% | 8.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.