Race 10A

victorian-urn

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Sarah Burn 7.1% 8.1% 10.1% 9.0% 9.1% 7.4% 9.2% 7.5% 8.8% 6.5% 6.0% 5.2% 4.2% 1.8%
Maddie Hawkins 20.1% 17.5% 15.1% 13.0% 9.9% 8.6% 5.8% 3.5% 2.8% 2.2% 0.6% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
Mia Nicolosi 18.2% 16.4% 13.5% 12.4% 10.1% 8.4% 6.4% 6.0% 3.6% 2.7% 1.2% 0.8% 0.3% 0.0%
Brooke Schmelz 5.0% 6.9% 8.0% 8.1% 6.7% 7.5% 10.0% 9.2% 7.4% 7.5% 8.5% 7.6% 4.8% 2.8%
Emily Bornarth 7.5% 8.6% 8.8% 9.8% 10.9% 8.9% 8.4% 7.2% 8.5% 6.8% 6.9% 4.1% 2.2% 1.4%
Chloe Holder 5.6% 5.1% 6.0% 5.6% 6.7% 9.2% 7.2% 7.8% 8.6% 8.9% 8.7% 7.6% 8.6% 4.4%
Libby Redmond 6.5% 7.4% 6.3% 7.2% 8.2% 7.8% 7.5% 7.9% 9.3% 9.3% 6.5% 7.9% 5.8% 2.4%
Ellie Maus 6.7% 5.8% 7.3% 5.8% 7.5% 8.6% 7.8% 7.6% 8.0% 8.6% 7.7% 7.8% 6.7% 4.1%
Blaire McCarthy 7.6% 6.7% 8.4% 6.9% 9.4% 9.2% 9.2% 9.5% 8.0% 7.7% 6.9% 5.2% 3.7% 1.6%
Grace Gear 4.8% 5.1% 4.9% 5.4% 8.2% 6.3% 7.8% 7.5% 9.1% 8.3% 9.3% 9.3% 8.4% 5.6%
Claire Siegel-Wilson 4.1% 4.0% 3.2% 5.6% 4.6% 6.6% 6.8% 8.0% 6.8% 9.5% 10.3% 10.8% 10.7% 9.0%
Pearl Lattanzi 2.0% 2.6% 2.7% 3.6% 2.5% 3.5% 4.8% 6.3% 5.5% 7.7% 11.2% 13.3% 13.9% 20.4%
Lucia Loosbrock 3.7% 4.0% 3.7% 4.6% 4.9% 5.3% 6.0% 7.2% 7.7% 8.8% 10.3% 10.6% 13.7% 9.5%
Lucy Paskoff 1.1% 1.8% 2.0% 3.0% 1.3% 2.7% 3.1% 4.8% 5.9% 5.5% 5.9% 9.2% 16.8% 36.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.