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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.12+3.24vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.23+1.89vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.04+4.51vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.63+4.87vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont1.89+3.06vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University1.16+4.31vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12-0.04vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.28-1.34vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.98-1.25vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.30-4.25vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45-5.75vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.03-5.48vs Predicted
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14Boston University0.72-2.78vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.52-6.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.24Yale University3.120.2%1st Place
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3.89Dartmouth College3.230.2%1st Place
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7.51Boston College2.040.1%1st Place
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8.87Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.630.0%1st Place
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8.06University of Vermont1.890.0%1st Place
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10.31Salve Regina University1.160.0%1st Place
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6.96Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.1%1st Place
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6.66Brown University2.280.1%1st Place
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7.75Tufts University1.980.1%1st Place
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6.75Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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6.25U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.1%1st Place
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7.52Bowdoin College2.030.1%1st Place
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11.22Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
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9.0Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mia Nicolosi | 16.6% | 18.6% | 14.8% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 20.4% | 17.8% | 14.4% | 12.1% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Libby Redmond | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 3.7% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 13.7% | 8.6% |
| Grace Gear | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 5.2% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 12.8% | 15.9% | 21.2% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 2.1% |
| Blaire McCarthy | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 1.8% |
| Chloe Holder | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 3.9% |
| Sarah Burn | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 2.1% | 2.2% |
| Emily Bornarth | 9.6% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Ellie Maus | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 15.8% | 37.0% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 13.6% | 7.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.