Race 12A

victorian-urn

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

14.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Sarah Burn 7.2% 8.4% 8.7% 9.8% 8.1% 8.8% 9.8% 8.2% 8.3% 6.0% 6.4% 4.5% 3.7% 2.1%
Mia Nicolosi 17.8% 16.1% 16.0% 12.1% 10.3% 8.9% 7.4% 3.5% 2.5% 2.8% 1.7% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2%
Brooke Schmelz 6.3% 6.9% 8.2% 8.2% 6.1% 6.9% 8.5% 8.4% 8.7% 8.9% 7.7% 7.6% 5.7% 1.9%
Pearl Lattanzi 1.8% 2.3% 2.6% 2.8% 4.7% 4.1% 4.8% 4.9% 7.3% 6.3% 8.8% 12.4% 16.6% 20.6%
Claire Siegel-Wilson 3.3% 4.0% 3.9% 4.3% 7.7% 6.4% 5.7% 6.6% 7.0% 9.1% 10.7% 11.4% 11.6% 8.3%
Chloe Holder 5.3% 5.2% 5.6% 6.5% 7.0% 7.9% 7.6% 8.9% 8.4% 9.5% 8.9% 7.3% 7.9% 4.0%
Maddie Hawkins 20.4% 18.8% 14.7% 12.8% 9.1% 8.7% 5.5% 3.3% 3.0% 2.1% 0.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
Emily Bornarth 9.0% 9.9% 9.1% 8.8% 9.7% 8.6% 8.3% 9.3% 5.5% 7.3% 5.4% 5.2% 2.8% 1.1%
Blaire McCarthy 7.9% 6.3% 6.9% 8.2% 8.6% 9.5% 9.6% 9.1% 8.5% 8.0% 7.2% 5.2% 3.2% 1.8%
Lucia Loosbrock 3.4% 3.7% 2.6% 3.3% 5.3% 6.6% 6.0% 7.1% 7.1% 9.8% 10.2% 10.9% 13.7% 10.3%
Ellie Maus 5.4% 5.9% 6.5% 6.3% 7.9% 7.5% 7.6% 8.7% 9.9% 8.1% 8.8% 7.1% 7.2% 3.1%
Grace Gear 4.6% 4.2% 5.8% 6.7% 7.3% 6.7% 7.6% 9.1% 9.4% 8.9% 7.5% 9.0% 6.7% 6.5%
Lucy Paskoff 1.9% 2.1% 1.8% 2.3% 1.2% 2.9% 3.3% 3.9% 4.9% 5.7% 7.1% 9.5% 15.3% 38.1%
Libby Redmond 5.7% 6.2% 7.6% 7.9% 7.0% 6.5% 8.3% 9.0% 9.5% 7.5% 8.9% 8.8% 5.1% 2.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.