← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Northeastern University2.03+6.28vs Predicted
-
2Dartmouth College2.33+4.28vs Predicted
-
3Boston College2.82+1.82vs Predicted
-
4Yale University2.92+0.63vs Predicted
-
5Roger Williams University0.95+5.78vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11+1.11vs Predicted
-
7Bowdoin College2.70-1.79vs Predicted
-
8University of Rhode Island1.84+0.05vs Predicted
-
9Harvard University2.29-2.52vs Predicted
-
10Salve Regina University1.31-0.20vs Predicted
-
11Brown University2.41-4.76vs Predicted
-
12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.61-2.98vs Predicted
-
13Tufts University1.02-2.22vs Predicted
-
14University of Vermont0.76-2.69vs Predicted
-
15Boston University0.39-2.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.28Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
-
6.28Dartmouth College2.330.1%1st Place
-
4.82Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
-
4.63Yale University2.920.2%1st Place
-
10.78Roger Williams University0.950.0%1st Place
-
7.11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
-
5.21Bowdoin College2.700.1%1st Place
-
8.05University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
-
6.48Harvard University2.290.1%1st Place
-
9.8Salve Regina University1.310.0%1st Place
-
6.24Brown University2.410.1%1st Place
-
9.02Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.610.0%1st Place
-
10.78Tufts University1.020.0%1st Place
-
11.31University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
-
12.21Boston University0.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eva Ermlich | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.6% |
| Gray Hemans | 7.2% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 14.1% | 13.7% | 12.5% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Emma Cowles | 15.8% | 15.8% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 14.0% | 16.1% | 15.3% |
| Emma Snead | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 13.6% | 10.0% | 12.7% | 11.7% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.3% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 1.6% |
| Marbella Marlo | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 11.8% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 7.3% |
| Caroline Bayless | 8.5% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% |
| Emily Scherer | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 4.2% |
| Samantha Jensen | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 12.9% | 15.7% | 14.6% |
| Audrey Commerford | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 14.6% | 18.1% | 18.9% |
| Madeline Stull | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 17.9% | 34.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.