← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston College2.56+5.87vs Predicted
-
2Georgetown University1.86+7.60vs Predicted
-
3Brown University1.99+4.91vs Predicted
-
4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63+5.12vs Predicted
-
5Yale University2.71+0.10vs Predicted
-
6Stanford University2.64+0.32vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Naval Academy1.18+4.98vs Predicted
-
8Bowdoin College1.84+1.06vs Predicted
-
9Dartmouth College2.10+0.03vs Predicted
-
10Harvard University1.90-0.59vs Predicted
-
11University of Pennsylvania1.77-2.88vs Predicted
-
12College of Charleston1.45-0.70vs Predicted
-
13Northeastern University1.18-1.41vs Predicted
-
14North Carolina State University1.09-2.86vs Predicted
-
15Cornell University1.79-6.38vs Predicted
-
16Roger Williams University0.49-2.17vs Predicted
-
17Tulane University1.34-6.38vs Predicted
-
18George Washington University1.07-6.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.87Boston College2.568.9%1st Place
-
9.6Georgetown University1.864.0%1st Place
-
7.91Brown University1.997.2%1st Place
-
9.12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.635.5%1st Place
-
5.1Yale University2.7115.8%1st Place
-
6.32Stanford University2.6411.1%1st Place
-
11.98U. S. Naval Academy1.182.5%1st Place
-
9.06Bowdoin College1.845.6%1st Place
-
9.03Dartmouth College2.105.2%1st Place
-
9.41Harvard University1.904.7%1st Place
-
8.12University of Pennsylvania1.776.7%1st Place
-
11.3College of Charleston1.453.0%1st Place
-
11.59Northeastern University1.182.9%1st Place
-
11.14North Carolina State University1.093.3%1st Place
-
8.62Cornell University1.795.7%1st Place
-
13.83Roger Williams University0.491.8%1st Place
-
10.62Tulane University1.342.7%1st Place
-
11.39George Washington University1.073.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colleen O'Brien | 8.9% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Kelly Bates | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 2.4% |
| Katharine Doble | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Lucy Brock | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.4% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 15.8% | 13.5% | 11.6% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Hannah Freeman | 11.1% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Ava Farley | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 12.8% | 11.4% |
| Lauren Russler | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 1.8% |
| Sarah Young | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.9% |
| Sarah Burn | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 2.6% |
| Sofia Segalla | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Grace Squires | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 9.8% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 9.8% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.2% |
| Sophia Devling | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.4% |
| Katherine McGagh | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 9.6% | 12.6% | 29.9% |
| Mia Hanes | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 9.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.