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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University2.02+2.16vs Predicted
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2University of Washington2.87+0.23vs Predicted
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3University of Puget Sound1.26+0.98vs Predicted
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5University of Oregon2.76-2.69vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University1.88-4.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.16Western Washington University2.020.2%1st Place
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2.23University of Washington2.870.3%1st Place
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3.98University of Puget Sound1.260.1%1st Place
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2.31University of Oregon2.760.3%1st Place
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3.32Western Washington University1.880.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryan Rust | 15.1% | 18.1% | 22.8% | 23.8% | 20.2% |
| Glen Stellmacher | 33.2% | 30.5% | 20.9% | 11.2% | 4.2% |
| Mike Knape | 7.0% | 8.7% | 11.7% | 24.1% | 48.5% |
| Elliot Drake | 32.0% | 26.5% | 25.2% | 10.8% | 5.5% |
| Erika Vranizan | 12.7% | 16.2% | 19.4% | 30.1% | 21.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.