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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.70+4.15vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.92+2.55vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.84+4.88vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.29+2.52vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.82+0.02vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.33+0.41vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.41-0.84vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University0.95+2.88vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11-2.00vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University2.03-2.55vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.02-0.34vs Predicted
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12Boston University0.39+0.51vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont0.76-1.50vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University1.31-4.35vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.61-6.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.15Bowdoin College2.700.1%1st Place
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4.55Yale University2.920.2%1st Place
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7.88University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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6.52Harvard University2.290.1%1st Place
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5.02Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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6.41Dartmouth College2.330.1%1st Place
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6.16Brown University2.410.1%1st Place
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10.88Roger Williams University0.950.0%1st Place
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7.0U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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7.45Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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10.66Tufts University1.020.0%1st Place
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12.51Boston University0.390.0%1st Place
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11.5University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
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9.65Salve Regina University1.310.0%1st Place
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8.67Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 13.2% | 13.3% | 12.5% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Emma Cowles | 16.2% | 15.9% | 11.4% | 12.6% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 1.6% |
| Marbella Marlo | 8.6% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 9.9% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 13.5% | 12.3% | 12.8% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Gray Hemans | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
| Caroline Bayless | 9.5% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 13.3% | 18.7% | 14.0% |
| Emma Snead | 6.3% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Eva Ermlich | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| Samantha Jensen | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 12.5% | 15.5% | 13.0% |
| Madeline Stull | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 13.0% | 17.5% | 36.4% |
| Audrey Commerford | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 11.2% | 13.7% | 18.0% | 21.3% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 10.5% | 12.7% | 11.9% | 9.1% | 7.2% |
| Emily Scherer | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 2.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.