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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.29+5.45vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.92+2.48vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.82+1.90vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.02+6.55vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.33+1.50vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11+1.16vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University0.95+3.72vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.70-2.71vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island1.84-1.09vs Predicted
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10Boston University0.39+2.31vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.61-2.22vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University1.31-2.01vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont0.76-1.48vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University2.03-6.68vs Predicted
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15Brown University2.41-8.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.45Harvard University2.290.1%1st Place
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4.48Yale University2.920.2%1st Place
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4.9Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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10.55Tufts University1.020.0%1st Place
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6.5Dartmouth College2.330.1%1st Place
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7.16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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10.72Roger Williams University0.950.0%1st Place
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5.29Bowdoin College2.700.1%1st Place
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7.91University of Rhode Island1.840.0%1st Place
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12.31Boston University0.390.0%1st Place
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8.78Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.610.0%1st Place
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9.99Salve Regina University1.310.0%1st Place
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11.52University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
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7.32Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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6.13Brown University2.410.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marbella Marlo | 10.0% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.1% |
| Emma Cowles | 16.2% | 15.4% | 12.4% | 13.2% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 13.5% | 13.8% | 11.6% | 12.1% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samantha Jensen | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 12.5% | 10.5% | 14.8% | 13.4% |
| Gray Hemans | 8.8% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Emma Snead | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 14.0% | 15.1% | 14.0% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 13.0% | 10.7% | 12.4% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 2.0% |
| Madeline Stull | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 18.5% | 34.7% |
| Emily Scherer | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 4.2% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 3.1% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 12.9% | 13.8% | 11.4% | 6.8% |
| Audrey Commerford | 0.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 15.7% | 16.9% | 22.8% |
| Eva Ermlich | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| Caroline Bayless | 9.2% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.