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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.82+3.90vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.46+3.91vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.29+3.49vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11+3.12vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.61+3.82vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.92-1.38vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.03+0.32vs Predicted
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8Boston University0.39+4.27vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.70-3.84vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College2.33-3.44vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.02-0.34vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont0.76-0.41vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University0.95-2.04vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island1.84-5.98vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.31-5.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.9Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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5.91Brown University2.460.1%1st Place
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6.49Harvard University2.290.1%1st Place
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7.12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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8.82Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.610.0%1st Place
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4.62Yale University2.920.2%1st Place
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7.32Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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12.27Boston University0.390.0%1st Place
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5.16Bowdoin College2.700.1%1st Place
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6.56Dartmouth College2.330.1%1st Place
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10.66Tufts University1.020.0%1st Place
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11.59University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
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10.96Roger Williams University0.950.0%1st Place
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8.02University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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9.63Salve Regina University1.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caroline Sibilly | 13.6% | 15.0% | 12.3% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 9.0% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Marbella Marlo | 8.7% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Emma Snead | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Emily Scherer | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 4.5% |
| Emma Cowles | 15.2% | 13.4% | 13.5% | 12.0% | 12.1% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Eva Ermlich | 8.1% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 1.1% |
| Madeline Stull | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 16.9% | 35.4% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 11.9% | 12.8% | 9.6% | 12.5% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Gray Hemans | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Samantha Jensen | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 12.8% | 15.1% | 13.5% |
| Audrey Commerford | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 14.7% | 18.2% | 21.0% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 13.9% | 17.1% | 14.6% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 1.6% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 6.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.