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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.92+3.65vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.29+4.44vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.82+1.88vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University0.95+6.80vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.46+1.19vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.33+0.50vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.03+0.38vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.84+0.08vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.61-0.27vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.70-4.59vs Predicted
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11Boston University0.39+1.25vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont0.08+1.11vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.71-4.22vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11-6.87vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.31-5.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.65Yale University2.920.2%1st Place
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6.44Harvard University2.290.1%1st Place
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4.88Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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10.8Roger Williams University0.950.0%1st Place
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6.19Brown University2.460.1%1st Place
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6.5Dartmouth College2.330.1%1st Place
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7.38Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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8.08University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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8.73Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.610.0%1st Place
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5.41Bowdoin College2.700.1%1st Place
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12.25Boston University0.390.0%1st Place
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13.11University of Vermont0.080.0%1st Place
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8.78Tufts University1.710.0%1st Place
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7.13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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9.66Salve Regina University1.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Cowles | 15.8% | 14.2% | 13.7% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Marbella Marlo | 7.6% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 15.0% | 11.3% | 13.6% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 1.9% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 14.6% | 18.0% | 11.7% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 8.6% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Gray Hemans | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% |
| Eva Ermlich | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 0.8% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 1.8% |
| Emily Scherer | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 6.5% | 2.0% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 11.3% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 12.4% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Stull | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 11.7% | 24.5% | 28.6% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 12.3% | 18.5% | 45.8% |
| Annika Fedde | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 6.6% | 3.1% |
| Emma Snead | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 13.3% | 12.3% | 4.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.