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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.82+3.68vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.70+3.09vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.46+2.80vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University2.03+2.96vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.92-0.59vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11+0.65vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.33-1.05vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.47-2.38vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University0.95+0.86vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont0.76+0.18vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94-3.96vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island1.84-4.35vs Predicted
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13Boston University0.39-1.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.68Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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5.09Bowdoin College2.700.1%1st Place
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5.8Brown University2.460.1%1st Place
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6.96Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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4.41Yale University2.920.2%1st Place
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6.65U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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5.95Dartmouth College2.330.1%1st Place
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5.62Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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9.86Roger Williams University0.950.0%1st Place
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10.18University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
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7.04Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.1%1st Place
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7.65University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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11.1Boston University0.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caroline Sibilly | 14.0% | 13.7% | 13.3% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 12.8% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 8.0% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Eva Ermlich | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 2.2% |
| Emma Cowles | 16.4% | 15.8% | 13.8% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Emma Snead | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 1.6% |
| Gray Hemans | 9.9% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 11.3% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Cordelia Burn | 10.3% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 0.3% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 1.7% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 16.3% | 23.5% | 19.0% |
| Audrey Commerford | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 16.1% | 20.2% | 25.9% |
| Lucy Brock | 5.4% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 2.8% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 13.5% | 11.5% | 8.8% | 3.9% |
| Madeline Stull | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 11.5% | 20.7% | 43.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.