Race 10B

victorian-urn

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Caroline Sibilly 14.5% 13.2% 11.4% 12.3% 11.3% 10.6% 7.2% 7.0% 5.2% 4.2% 2.0% 0.8% 0.3%
Elizabeth Kaplan 12.0% 13.5% 10.0% 12.2% 10.8% 10.4% 8.8% 7.3% 6.5% 3.9% 2.6% 1.8% 0.2%
Gray Hemans 7.4% 8.9% 9.6% 10.0% 9.0% 8.4% 10.5% 9.7% 8.8% 8.5% 5.0% 3.4% 0.8%
Emma Cowles 15.2% 14.6% 14.2% 10.4% 11.9% 9.3% 6.8% 8.0% 4.4% 3.6% 1.2% 0.1% 0.3%
Brielle Willoughby 10.5% 10.5% 9.5% 11.5% 8.2% 9.3% 10.3% 9.0% 6.9% 6.5% 5.4% 2.1% 0.3%
Cordelia Burn 9.5% 10.5% 11.8% 8.8% 10.4% 10.6% 8.5% 8.3% 7.0% 6.5% 5.6% 2.3% 0.2%
Eva Ermlich 7.9% 6.8% 8.0% 6.2% 7.3% 7.7% 9.1% 9.9% 10.3% 11.0% 8.2% 6.1% 1.5%
Kytalin Hendrickson 5.3% 6.0% 5.9% 6.4% 6.3% 7.4% 8.7% 10.5% 11.0% 10.6% 11.4% 8.0% 2.5%
Emma Snead 6.7% 6.2% 6.8% 8.8% 8.1% 9.3% 9.0% 8.8% 11.7% 10.0% 7.9% 4.9% 1.8%
Lucy Brock 6.8% 5.1% 6.9% 5.9% 9.3% 7.5% 9.9% 8.2% 9.6% 10.9% 10.1% 6.4% 3.4%
Caylin Schnoor 2.1% 1.5% 2.9% 2.8% 3.5% 4.7% 4.9% 5.8% 7.8% 10.6% 15.5% 20.7% 17.2%
Audrey Commerford 1.2% 1.9% 1.9% 2.6% 2.6% 3.2% 4.4% 4.1% 5.0% 7.5% 14.9% 23.5% 27.2%
Madeline Stull 0.9% 1.3% 1.1% 2.1% 1.3% 1.6% 1.9% 3.4% 5.8% 6.2% 10.2% 19.9% 44.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.